NFL: Week 16 picks

After entering week 15 with no playoff spots claimed, we now have 4 locked up.  The Cardinals are the first in the NFC to punch a spot, they can do no worse than a wild card berth.  In the AFC, the Patriots, Broncos and Colts all locked up their divisions last week.  Now with just two weeks left in the regular season, the fight for the 8 remaining spots heats up.  There are 6 teams still in the hunt in the AFC, 3 in the NFC.

Another great week picking for me last week, with my only wrong choices coming in Green Bay and Philadelphia.  The 14-2 record moved me to 145-78.

Thursday Night Football

  • Titans @ Jaguars: Snooze. Can we just get to Friday and assume this game took place? It’s one of the few games this week that has no impact on the playoff push. JACKSONVILLE WINS

Saturday Football

  • Eagles @ Redskins: With their loss to the Cowboys on Sunday Night, the Eagles are now in a fight for a wildcard spot and currently sit out of playoff position behind the Packers and Seahawks. As for the Redskins, their QB carousel is back on RGIII after Colt McCoy went down early against New York.  I the Eagles are simply the better team, so I think they keep themselves in the conversation and get their 10th win. PHILADELPHIA WINS
  • Chargers @ 49ers: There were so many off-the-field distractions for the 49ers this season that we can’t really be too surprised that they’re missing the playoffs for the first time in 4 years.  The Chargers need a lot of things to go right in the final two weeks to get into the playoffs, and it starts with a win this week.  Their offense is better than San Fran’s and this is why I think they get the road victory. SAN DIEGO WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Vikings @ Dolphins: Minnesota is just playing out the season at this point, in that realm of do you get to .500 and enjoy it or hope to finish closer to 6-10 for better draft position.  Miami’s two-game slide has all but knocked them out of postseason contention, for they’d have to win out and hope for a lot of losing above the.  If nothing else, the Dolphins a more balanced team, and I think they ensure themselves of finishing no less than .500. MIAMI WINS
  • Ravens @ Texans:  The Ravens control their own destiny for a wildcard spot, currently holding the 6th seed behind the Bengals and Steelers.  Houston is another 7-7 AFC squad that has their playoff hopes hinged on winning out and a whole lot of losing needed.  But they’ve had a successful season ever since winning their 3rd game, after a 14-game losing streak to end last season.  Losing Ryan Fitzpatrick hurts the Texans slim chances, though if we could see the do everything JJ Watt take a few snaps under center, don’t we all in?  Baltimore has been here before, and Joe Flacco knows how to close things out.  BALTIMORE WINS
  • Lions @ Bears: Remember how going into last week we all had the Packers if not 1 in the league, they were one of the best in teh NFL?  Well they are still a top team and a serious threat, but it’s the Lions who sit atop the NFC North and would get a bye in the 1st round if things hold serve. Of course, might know anything til the conclusion of the regular season as far as the division is concerned as the two play in week 17.  But a Detroit win this week, gives them a sure playoff berth, coupled with a Packers loss would make them the champs in the North.  As for their division opponent this week, the Bears are awful and have been all season.  Oh, and did I meantion the not-surprising surprising move of benching Jay Cutler? So give me a road win (and a Packers win) to set up a week 17, winner take all division (and possibly a 1st round bye) in Lambeau. DETROIT WINS
  • Browns @ Panthers: Johnny Manziel take 2. I mean it can’t be worse than last week so there’s that. The two teams are fairly even in their stats, with the Panthers holding the time of possession edge, but the Browns have 2 more wins.  The Browns were shocking everyone early, but have no lost 3 straight and dropped out of the AFC North race.  Carolina, despite their guaranteed under .500 record, still have a shot winning the NFC South and hosting a playoff game.  They know how to win, see last season, so I think that experience lifts them this week.   CAROLINA WINS
  • Falcons @ Saints: The Saints have the edge in the division entering action, but Atlanta holds a 1-0 series lead.  Let’s be honest, there will be no deserving winner of this division and the home game they’d get.  That being said, someone has to win this game and the division.  I like (as I have too many times this season) the Saints at home, simply because Drew Brees and company have been far less disappointing in big games than Matt Ryan and the Falcons. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Packers @ Buccaneers: Another road loss, to another very good defense, has the Packers looking on the outside of the NFC North despite looking like the team to beat in the NFC for a good stretch of the 2nd half of the season. Other than rookie wide-out Mike Evans, everyone in Tampa Bay forgot the season started a long time ago.  Green Bay has been a different team on the road, but the Buccs defense is nowhere near the caliber of the Bills, so give me the Pack with a chance to take the division in the regular season finale. GREEN BAY WINS
  • Chiefs @ Steelers: Kansas City would be the first team out of the playoffs if everything works out as it stands now.  But a win against Pittsburgh would move them into a wild card spot heading into week 17. Both teams have respectable defenses and above average running backs that can change the game with one play.  So where does the advantage lie?  It’s under center with Ben Roethlisberger versus Alex Smith.  I take the former in this huge match-up, in Big Ben’s stadium. PITTSBURGH WINS
  • Patriots @ Jets: Raise your hand if you’re shocked that the Pats have a shot to clinch home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs or at least a 1st round bye should Denver win, against the lowly Jets?  To New York’s credit, they did an admiral job slowing Tom Brady down int their first meeting, losing just by 2 in Gillette.  But this is bigger, and it;s not like the Jets got better following that meeting. Give me the AFC East Champs to pick up win number 12. NEW ENGLAND WINS

Sunday 4/4:25PM Games

  • Giants @ Rams: It’s another game that has no effect on the playoff race.  St. Louis is playing to finish at .500 for the first time since 2006, while New York just looks to finish strong after a mid-season 7-game losing streak.  The Rams defense has been formidable all year, so look our for them next year when they get another QB in place.  I like how the Giants offense has looked of late, so against my better judgement, give me the road team to pick up win number 6. NEW YORK WINS
  • Bills @ Raiders: The Bills played spoiler for the Packers a week ago, but I don’t see enough help in their future.  But they are playing the Raiders, so I think they get win number 9 to keep themselves in the conversation til the end. BUFFALO WINS
  • Colts @ Cowboys: DeMarco Murray will probably make the start on Sunday despite having surgery on his hand.  But concerns of ball security have to be there. Both teams have been known to lose games in big situations.  Both teams are very good.  Tony Romo is having probably his best stretch run of his career, but in one of the most evenly matched week 16 games, I’m going to take Andrew Luck on the road, even as they have their playoff spot locked up already. INDIANAPOLIS WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Seahawks @ Cardinals: Arizona’s struggles/injuries at QB the past month have allowed a resurgence from Seattle to get back in the division conversation. A Cardinals win clinches the division and home-field advantage.  But lucky for them, they’ve got the playoff spot locked up, so they have some leeway to figure out the QB situation that other teams wouldn’t.   The Seahawks defense may need a quarter to get to know the Cardinals new starter Ryan Lindley, but I don’t think it’ll be an issue.  Arizona’s own defense has been very good all year, and the only way the Cardinals win, is if they can get to Russell Wilson often. That being said, the legion of boom is alive and well, and that will be the difference. SEATTLE WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Broncos @ Bengals: Would I be surprised if the Bengals stepped up and kept their hold on the division? No.  But I just love how the Broncos are playing right now.  They aren’t as flashy as they were on offense a season ago, but they have a run game and a better defense than the team that lost in the Superbowl.  So I’m going to go on a close game that comes down to either Andy Dalton or Peyton Manning making a play late, and I take the former MVP. DENVER WINS
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NFL: Week 16 Predictions

15 down. 2 to go. I can’t believe we’re down to just two weeks of the regular season already, and so much is yet to be decided. It’s a football fan’s dream finish.

No more Thursday night games, so you have to wait til Sunday, but that just means more fun jam-packed into the weekend.

1PM Sunday Games

  • Miami @ Buffalo: Don’t look now but the Dolphins have come back to life, and are currently a spot out of an AFC Wildcard.  The Bills are just playing out the season, and I think Miami keep things interesting, and force other teams to eliminate them from playoff contention. MIAMI WINS
  • New Orleans @ Carolina: It’s the game that could ultimately decided the NFC South.  A Saints win wraps it up by virtue of winning the season series.  A Panthers win would give them their first lead in the division of the season, and would ensure at least a tie.  The Saints had a very bad game against the Rams on the road a week ago, as they continue to play poorly away from home.  The Panthers defense can beat anyone.  I know this might not be fair, but this will be Carolina’s 1st playoff game of the season.  They played poorly in New Orleans, and while they’re at home, Drew Brees knows how to turn it up and win the big game. Cam Newton has played well all season, but I want to see him do it this weekend. They make the playoffs, but I’m not sure they do it as division champs. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Minnesota @ Cincinnati: Just when the Bengals looked like they were going to cruise to an AFC North title, the Ravens are now a game back.  They take on a Vikings squad that has looked much better in the 2nd half of the season under Matt Cassel at quarterback.  But I think Cincy will find a way to right the ship at home and keep their lead in the division, and lock up a playoff spot.  CINCY WINS
  • Denver @ Houston: The Broncos have a playoff spot locked up, but still have a lot to play for after a loss to San Diego last week.  The division and the number 1 seed are still there for the taking, so Denver can’t look past a Houston team on a 12-game losing streak.  Matt Schaub will start under center for the Texans who look to at least find a way to get to 3 wins before the season ends.  But I don’t think the change back to their Opening Day starter changes things for a hungry Broncos team. DENVER WINS
  • Tennessee @ Jacksonville: The Titans had a shot at a playoff spit, but that’s gone now.  As for the Jags, they’ve shown great fight the second half of the season, giving fans in Florida some hope for the future.  And I think those good feelings continue at home for the jags. JACKSONVILLE WINS
  • Indianapolis @ Kansas City: The Colts need this one badly.  The Chiefs still have a great shot at the division, but are ensured a playoff spot no matter what.  I know it’s a road game for the Colts, but I think they find away to get back on track and secure their spot in the postseason.  Andrew Luck has shown he can come up big in big situations. INDY WINS
  • Dallas @ Washington: This is a case of a really bad team in Washington, versus a really bad December team in Dallas. The Redskins have been stuck on 3 wins for what feels like forever, and have benched RGIII.  The cowboys continue to waste a talents roster and golden opportunities.  But I think the boys, even if it’s against a bad team, get a December win and force week 17 against Philly to mean playoff or bust. DALLAS WINS
  • Cleveland @ New York Jets: A week after coming back to life, the Jets were shutdown by Carolina, while the Browns lost a win in the final seconds to New England.  I think the browns defense can handle the inconsistent New York offense, so that’s why I have them picking up the road win. CLEVELAND WINS
  • Tampa Bay @ St. Louis: Much like the jags, the Buccaneers have put together a nice 2nd half, in relation to their awful start.  As for the Rams, they’ve been up and down all year, but have a defense to build around,  giving them much hope for success in the not-so distant future.  Give me St Louis in a close one at home.  ST LOUIS WINS

4:05PM Sunday Games

  • Arizona @ Seattle:  A win ensures the road to the Superbowl in the NFC  lies in Seattle. And for that to happen would at home would be huge for arguably the best hoe field advantage league wide.  The argument can be made for the Superdome, who’s inhabitants, like the Seahawks, are light years better at home, that’s huge.  The Cardinals have something to say here, looking to clinch their own postseason berth.  It’s going to be a good game, but the 12th man comes into play, as it will throughout Seattle’s postseason run. SEATTLE WINS
  • New York Giants @ Detroit: It’s just the 2nd losing season under head coach Tom Coughlin, and it’s been a rough one.  On the other side, you’ve got a Lions squad that doesn’t do well with prosperity.  They held the division in their hands, and have let it slip.  I think with this game benign at home, and the state of the Giants, a Detroit goes off for a big win. And if they don’t, look for head coach Jim Schwartz to possibly be on the hot seat. DETROIT WINS

4:25PM Sunday Games 

  • New England @ Baltimore: The AFC Championship game rematch pits two teams that haven’t locked up a playoff spot yet, but that both currently sit in position to do so.  The Pats can wrap up the AFC East with a win, while the defending Champs can help out their cause as well.  I know it’s a home game for Baltimore, but their offense just hasn’t been up to snuff of late. They only won last week because Justin Tucker is automatic on field-goal attempts.  The Pats have been inconsistent this year, but I think they find a way this week. NEW ENGLAND WINS
  • Oakland @ San Diego: The Chargers inconsistent season has them at 7-7, and they remain the hunt for a playoff spot.  While I don’t see them getting in, I also don’t see them knocking themselves out.  Oakland has fallen off from a pretty solid start, but I just don’t see them getting the win this week. SAN DIEGO WINS
  • Pittsburgh @ Green Bay: Matt Flynn continued to show a lot of good things last week in their big come-fro-behind win over Dallas.  The Steelers were shut down by the Ravens, and were beaten by a kicker in week 15.  Aaron Rodgers could be back under center this week, and at home, that would give this team a huge lift, but even without A-Rod, I see the Packers keeping the pressure on Chicago in the North.  GREEN BAY WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Chicago @ Philadelphia: Both teams have a spot in the playoffs in their sights, as division leaders heading into action.  It all depends on what happens earlier in the day, but a win by either team ensures at least a tie heading into the final week of the season.  Nick Foles has had a fantastic year to get the Eagles to this point, but I think the return of Jay Cutler revitalized the Bears and they make things easier on themselves playoff wise.  CHICAGO WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Atlanta @ San Francisco: Depending on what happens on Sunday, the Niners could still have a shot the division.  But even if the Hawks do wrap it up, they still hold the edge for a wildcard spot, and we all know that San Francisco knows what it takes to go on a playoff run.  The Falcons are a team many, myself included, would have a shot at a Superbowl run, but instead they are just a game ahead of the Skins for the worst record in the NFC.  Atlanta will attempt to play spoiler, but at home, I don’t see the 49ers falling prey. SAN FRAN WINS

That’s it. Enjoy all the playoff clinching, playoff heartbreak fun that will ensue in week 16.