NFL: Week 8 Picks

So there were a lot of strange happenings last week in the National Football League.  A bunch of last play games, a lot of statement games and a number of big injuries.  Not to mention a record breaking performance from one Peyton Manning, and the number of winless teams moving to just 1.

Took a step back this week at 7-8.  Two of those wins came on final second scores by Washington and Buffalo to save me from a truly terrible week of picks.  Time to rebound. Giants and the 49ers are on their byes this week.

Thursday Night Football

  • Chargers @ Broncos: The two best teams in the AFC West get this week’s slate of games started.  San Diego lost just it’s second gmae of the season to another division foe a week ago, while Denver saw Peyton Manning’s record breaking 509th TD pass in a blowout win over the 49ers on Sunday night.  It’s still early, but this game is more important for the Chargers who have yet to have their bye, and a loss would give them 3 losses to the Broncos 1.  That being said, while I think they are well-matched, Denver has the edge at home. DENVER WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Lions @ Falcons: Detroit’s defense saved them from another home loss a week ago, where as Atlanta continues to struggle, particularly on defense.  Matt Ryan has needed all the help he could get from that side of the football, but hasn’t gotten it consistently. This may not be a high scoring affair, but much as it did in week 7, I think the Lions defense more than their offense wins this game for them.  DETROIT WINS
  • Vikings @ Buccaneers: Minnesota let one slip away on the road in week 7.  The Bucs are coming off their bye week losers of two straight.  So what gives in this one?  It’s going to be ugly, maybe the worst game of the week, and I think it ends with a road win for the Vikings, who at least know how to play some defense.  MINNESOTA WINS
  • Bills @ Jets: Buffalo pulled off the last second comeback win a week ago, but it came with a price.  They lost both halves of their high powered rushing attack in CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson.  But Kyle Orton and Sammy Watkins with a little help from their defense got them over the .500 mark. As for their AFC East rivals, the Jets lost their 6th straight, falling by just 2 points to the Patriots on Thursday night. New York looked better in some ways then they have in a while, but still ended up with another loss.  I want to say that forcing the Bills into a pass first game would be good for the Jets, but their secondary has been horrendous.  I also want to say that the Bills defense can do a number on Geno Smith.  So which team am I picking?  I picked New York to make the playoffs before the season, and while that would take a lot to happen, I am going to think if there’s a game they can win on their schedule, I think it has be this one.  NEW YORK WINS
  • Bears @ Patriots: Chicago is a mess both on the field and off, while the Patriots continue to prove early season doubters wrong.  There is a question of a lack of trust between Jay Cutler and his receiving core, which can be explosive.  New England wasn’t sharp on Thursday Night against the Jets, but made the plays when they needed to.  Another home game to prove themselves against a team in shambles usually means a win for Tom Brady and company. NEW ENGLAND WINS
  • Seahawks @ Panthers: Is it time for the defending champs to panic?  Probably.  Is it time for Carolina, also a playoff team a year ago to panic? Yes.  Seattle has an improved Arizona team to deal with in its own division, while the Panthers are just lucky the Saints have gotten off to such a terrible start.  The Seahawks are in better shape though, despite shipping out the dynamic Percy Havin and losing two straight for the first time in two years.  They know how to win and aren’t having major struggles on either side of the football.  It’s the Carolina defense that has been very disappointing so far.  And even though they are at home, I have more faith in the defending champs. SEATTLE WINS
  • Dolphins @ Jaguars:  Ryan Tannehill and the fins took advantage of a trouble Chicago squad to move to .500.  Tannehill was efficient, connecting on his first 14 passes in route to the road win.  Now they take on a Jacksonville squad that finally picked up their first win of the season over a much improved Cleveland team.  Denard Robinson broke out for 127-yards on the ground and a score to help Blake Bortles get his first career win.  I like Miami and the progress Tannehill is showing, but you can’t say enough for a team that isn’t playing for much and knows how to win now.  So I like the Jags to get another win this week.  JACKSONVILLE WINS
  • Ravens @ Bengals: Baltimore’s offense continues to shine without Ray Rice in the backfield, and it’s helped them build a lead in the AFC North over their week 8 opponents.  Cincinnati has looked bad since their week 4 bye, with the low point a shutout a week ago in Indianapolis.  I liked the Bengals to win this division before the season, and if they have hopes of doing so, this is a must win game.  So give me the home team to bounce back, because they have to. CINCINNATI WINS
  • Texans @ Titans: Both teams had a chance to pick up wins in week 7,  but neither capitalized.  But looking at the overall picture, Houston has been the far superior team on both sides of the football, so I think they get back on track, picking up a big road win in Tennessee.  HOUSTON WINS
  • Rams @ Chiefs: St. Louis feels really good about themselves coming off a win over the defending champs.  Sure they almost blew a big lead, but they held on and showed something late.  That being said, the Chiefs win in week 7 was even more impressive against a hotter Chargers squad.  So give me KC to continue a good month of sports in Missouri.  KANSAS CITY WINS

Sunday 4/4:25PM Games

  • Eagles @ Cardinals: This is the game I am looking forward to most this weekend.  Two of the best teams in the NFC that both enter action at 5-1.  The key to this one?  Philly’s quick paced offense versus Arizona’s defense, which is allowing less than 20 points a game.  Even deeper, Arizona has the best rush defense in the game, going against duel threat LeSean McCoy, that could be where the game is won or lost for either side.  So who team flies higher, extends their win streak to 3 and improves to a sparkling 6-1?  Give me the red birds at home.  ARIZONA WINS
  • Colts @ Steelers: Remember when Indy started off 0-2 and everyone was freaking out?  Yeah, me neither.  Andrew Luck has this team on a 5-game win streak, and the Colts are coming off a complete team win, an impressive shutout of the Bengals.  Pittsburgh is also coming off a win, a much-needed one.  It wasn’t super impressive, but they did score 24-unanswered late to upset the Texans on the road. So the Steelers feel a little bit better about themselves, but I just can’t pick against the red hot Colts, even on the road.  INDIANAPOLIS WINS
  • Raiders @ Browns:  Oakland needs a win, but so do the Browns after a bad loss to the Jaguars last week.  Going into the season I would’ve thought this was a battle for the number 1 seed.  But it’s not.  The Browns are better than last season, and they just looked bad on the road last week.  I think they can bounce back and keep the Raiders looking at a winless season. CLEVELAND WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Packers @ Saints: Aaron Rodgers is the reigning offensive player of the week for the red hot Packers. New Orleans had a chance to get a much needed win on the road in Detroit to move to .500, but they couldn’t hold on and dropped to a surprising 2-4.  I think the Superdome gets LOUD this week and gets Drew Brees and company going.  NEW ORLEANS WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Redskins @ Cowboys: Did you know that Colt McCoy still exists?  Yeah, neither did the Titans defense.  Washington broke their slide on a last second field-goal, but it wasn’t an impressive game.  Dallas is now on a 6-game win streak and don’t look like they are going to slow down any time soon.  So give me the Boys at home to improve to a very surprising 7-1. DALLAS WINS
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NFL: Week 6 Predictions

Can’t believe it’s week 6 in the NFL already.

We’ve got two more teams on their bye: Atlanta and Miami.

Last week I went 7-7 in my picks, so let’s see if I can top that this week.

Thursday Night Football

  • New York Giants @ Chicago: I need to stop picking the Giants, who are bad in all 3 phases of the game right now.  But here are the Bears, losers of 2 straight where they’ve allowed 66 points.  Both teams are struggling, and their QBs just keep turning the ball over.  I have to give the edge to the home team here. CHICAGO WINS

1PM Sunday Games

  • Green Bay @ Baltimore: Both teams are coming off much-needed wins, but also wins where neither QB looked spectacular.  The run game for both seem to be turning around, but despite it being a road game, Aaron Rodgers has the edge over Joe Flacco in this one. GREEN BAY WINS
  • Cincinnati @ Buffalo: The Bills are down their starting quarterback, while the Bengals defense is on a high following a complete shutdown of the Patriots.  Buffalo will have to rely on their running back tandem of CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson to carry them.  While the Bengals have to hope Andy Dalton can find his rhythm.  CINCINNATI WINS
  • Detroit @ Cleveland: This is one of the more intriguing match-ups this week. Two 3-2 teams that pretty much no one had being over .500 at all this year let alone after week 5.  The Browns lost starter Brian Hoyer, but Brandon Weedon is healthy again.  While the Lions hope start wide-out Calvin Johnson can come back and help an offense which struggled a week ago.  I’m giving the home team the advantage here, thanks to a defense that has looked impressive early. CLEVELAND WINS
  • St. Louis @ Houston: Houston isn’t very good right now, while the Rams are coming off a nice win over the hapless Jaguars.  If the Texans want to make any type of run to get back into the  playoff picture, this is a game, at home, against another under .500 team that they have to win.  And I think they will, despite a possible QB controversy brewing following the benching of Matt Schaub in favor of TJ Yates late Sunday night against San Francisco.  Schaub starts and bounces back in a big way. HOUSTON WINS
  • Carolina @ Minnesota: The Vikings are coming off their bye, while the Panthers are coming off a bad performance against Arizona. Both are looking for their 2nd win of the season.  The Vikings have a new QB on the roster after signing Josh Freeman.  Cam Newton had one of his worst days as a starter Sunday.  The Vikings have log-jam at QB, as they now have Christian Ponder, Matt Cassel and Freeman as possible starters.  but Freeman is in no rush to take over the reigns, so Cassel will get the start Sunday after leading Minnesota to their first win before their bye week.  I think the uncertainty hurts, and the Panthers will pounce. CAROLINA WINS
  • Oakland @ Kansas City: The Raiders are feeling good after their Sunday Night win, but the Chiefs are feeling better sitting here at 5-0.  They got a scare from Tennessee last week, but at home this team is going to continue their huge bounce back from a disappointing 2012 season.  KANSAS CITY WINS
  • Pittsburgh @ New York Jets: The Steelers are coming off their bye and looking for win number 1.  But they face a tough test in a Jets team flying off a big win over Atlanta.  Ben Roethlisberger isn’t used to this losing, while the Jets aren’t used to winning.  I honestly can’t see the Steelers going 0-5 but New York’s defense is very good, and Geno Smith continues to grow.  I will probably regret it but I’m taking experience versus hot play. PITT WINS
  • Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay: With the drama surrounding Josh Freeman over, the Buccaneers look to pick up their 1st win of the year against the Eagles who picked up win number 2 last week.  Nick Foles is expected to start for the injured Michael Vick, but that worked out fine against New York, so no worries there.  PHILADELPHIA WINS

4/4:25PM Sunday Games

  • Jacksonville @ Denver: If ever there were a trap game, this would be it.  The beat up 0-5 Jags on the road against the seemingly unstoppable 5-0 Broncos?  Well, you know the saying any given Sunday?  It’s true, I just don’t see it being true on this Sunday. DENVER WINS
  • Tennessee @ Seattle:  This might be my favorite game of the week.  Most people probably didn’t have the Titans winning many games all season, yet here they are at 3-2.  And really they had a chance last week against the now 5-0 Chiefs.  The Seahawks are coming off a tough loss to the Colts, their first of the year.   I think the Titans can hang around again, but that 12th man is going to be the difference again. SEATTLE WINS
  • New Orleans @ New England: Two teams who are a combined 9-1?  Should be fun.  Tom Brady and co are coming off a rare no-touchdown effort, and I see them responding in a big way, handing the Saints their first loss. NEW ENGLAND WINS
  • Arizona @ San Francisco:  This is another one of the more intriguing games of the week.  Both enter action off big wins and at 3-2 in a much improved NFC West.  If this game were in Cardinals territory I might give them the edge.  But home-field and a Niners team clicking in every facet of the game is too much to pick against.  SAN FRAN WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Washington @ Dallas: An NFC East battle that could help the Cowboys pull away, or just make things more jumbled in a down division.  Tony Romo is coming off the best game of his career, except for the only thing people will remember, which is the poor decision-making late that caused a turnover and led to a loss.  The Redskins are coming off a bye, and look to pick up their 2nd win of the year.  Anything can happen in division games, and I see this one being close until the end, but I think the boys bounce back at home. DALLAS WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Indianapolis @ San Diego: The Colts are really, really good.  The Chargers are very up and down.  If Phillip Rivers can stop with all the turnovers, this team maybe wouldn’t be so inconsistent.  I see it being a fairly close game, but as it tends to happen, Andrew Luck will do something awesome in the 4th quarter.  INDY WINS

So there you have it.  My week 6 picks.  Enjoy all the football action, and I’ll be back Monday with my thoughts on what went down.