NFL: Week 5 Picks

Four more teams have their bye week: the Dolphins, Jets, Vikings and Panthers.

Last week I went 9-6, bringing my season picks total to 37-26.  Check out my week 5 picks below.

Thursday Night Football

  • Colts @ Texans: Matt Hasselbeck did just enough to get his win an OT victory in week 4, but it still wasn’t an impressive showing from the Colts. It’s still early but expect Andrew Luck back and I expect a big game.  Houston has it’s own issues at QB thought they’re sticking with Ryan Mallet.  This is a hard one to pick because neither team’s defense has been impressive, so give me Luck to come back and win it, or Hasselbeck if necessary in a close one.  INDIANAPOLIS WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Bears @ Chiefs: Chicago got the goose egg off their ledger while the Chiefs lost a third straight. I haven’t liked much about either of these teams, with the run games for each respective squad the only real bright spots.  But Kansas City has at least been in every one of their games (for the most part) and should really be 2-2.  So give me the home team to take this one.  KANSAS CITY WINS
  • Seahawks @ Bengals:  This is a hard one for me this week.  On the one hand, the Seahawks defense looks like the Legion of Boom again now that Kam Chancellor is back. But on the other hand the offense hasn’t been anything to write home about. If this game were in Seattle I might go differently, and while the Bengals are probably due for a loss, I’m taking the home team to stay perfect and stay comfortably atop their division another week.  CINCINNATI WINS
  • Redskins @ Falcons: The Redskins are coming off a big win against the Eagles, while the Falcons are undefeated and playing well in every phase of the game.  This is a huge trap game for Atlanta at home, as their biggest flaw right now is stopping the pass.  But Washington is pretty one dimensional so I don’t see a 5-0 start for the Falcons being too hard to achieve. ATLANTA WINS
  • Jaguars @ Buccaneers: It’s probably the worst game of the week simply based on the fact that both teams enter at 1-3.  Not to mention a second year QB versus a rookie, and based on what both have done this year, this could be a lack luster 9-6 game, or a shoot out.  I’m leaning towards the latter, and if that’s the case, I think the Jags defense will make the play late that is the difference.  JACKSONVILLE WINS
  • Saints @ Eagles: The Saints walked off win week 4, while the Eagles were basically walked off against.  Both teams need a win desperately, though New Orleans more so as they’re division is led by a 4-0 Panthers team while the Eagles are only a game down in the East. Most had high expectations for Philly this season, while I thought the Saints would get themselves back to the playoffs.  Simply based on the fact that the run game hasn’t been what Philly thought it would be and that I would take  Drew Brees over Sam Bradford in anything any day of the week, I am going to go road team by a comfortable margin.  NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Browns @ Ravens: Cleveland has lost each of he last two by one score.  Baltimore broke their 0-3 start with a Thursday Night win, but it wasn’t a clean game, and if not for poor kicking by Pittsburgh.  Justin Forsett and Justin Tucker were the reasons why they survived in OT, and they’re why they will pick up a second win this weekend.  BALTIMORE WINS
  • Rams @ Packers: St Louis has had two very good wins, and two very bad losses.  They’ve seem to get up for the big games, and lose focus against lesser opponents.  And now for the second week in a row, they’re on the road against an undefeated team who don’t lose at home.  Aaron Rogers and company probably played their worst game a week ago, but it was once again mistake free.  Rogers will eventually slip up at home again, but I don’t think the Rams offense can do enough against the Packers defense to help out their own defense. GREEN BAY WINS
  • Bills @ Titans: Buffalo has been shooting themselves in the foot with penalties, while the Titans have been up and down on offense and defense through their first three games. The Bills run defense is good, their pass defense isn’t great and with the strength of the Titans being their passing attack, I’m taking the home team.  TENNESSEE WINS

Sunday 4/4:25 PM Games

  • Cardinals @ Lions: Arizona is coming off a disappointing home loss to St. Louis, while the Lions are coming off a disappointing road loss of their own.  Detroit’s defense finally showed up last week against the Seahawks, while the Cardinals turned over the ball too many times in their first loss.  I wouldn’t be surprised if the Lions figure it out and avoid the 0-5 start, but I love the Cardinals and I expect a big bounce back performance. ARIZONA WINS
  • Patriots @ Cowboys: Players are dropping like flies in Dallas while the 3-0 Pats are coming off their bye week.  Despite the loss of so many key players, the Boys still sit atop the division at 2-2 and have been in every game.  But their defense fell apart the last two weeks late against QBs not named Tom Brady, so I don’t like their chances in four quarters against the reigning Superbowl Champions. NEW ENGLAND WINS
  • Broncos @ Raiders: The Broncos still haven’t played a great game start to finish.  Oakland has been impressive at times this season and are a surprising 2-2.  AFC West games are always tough, but Denver always plays well against the Raiders.  Give me the road team led by Peyton Manning’s best game of the season so far. DENVER WINS

Sunday Night Football 

  • 49ers @ Giants: San Francisco is in disarray while the Giants are starting to put it together.  New York’s run defense has been great all season, and that’s the Niners only chance in this game if the defense can’t put another good game together. I like the home team to win their 3rd straight.  NEW YORK WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Steelers @ Chargers: Pittsburgh has a new kicker but they’re going to need more than that to pick up their second win of the season.  Le’Veon Bell will need to carry them against the Chargers who are just as hungry for another win.  Their two so far haven’t been easy, but if they can keep the passing game going, I think they take this one rather easily. SAN DIEGO WINS
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NFL: Week 5 Picks

Just two teams on bye this week, Miami and Oakland after their trip across the pond.

Week 4 finished 8 and 5 for me, bringing my season total to 35-26.  Here are my week 5 predictions.

Thursday Night Football

  • Vikings @ Packers: Both teams are coming off impressive wins of the blowout variety. No Matt Cassel.  No Teddy Bridgewater.  No Adrian Peterson.  So yeah, I like Aaron Rodgers to get above .500 in a big way. GREEN BAY WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Bears @ Panthers: Chicago was manhandled a week ago by a hungry Packers team.  Carolina’s defense hasn’t been what we all thought coming into the season.  So what gives? While I have more confidence in the offensive weapons of the Bears, I’ve see the Panthers D rise to the occasion.  And in front of their home crowd, this is the perfect time to do just that. CAROLINA WINS
  • Browns @ Titans: Fresh off a bye, the Browns get a rested Jordan Cameron back, and should have running back Ben Tate ready to get the majority of the carries.  Tennessee hasn’t put up much of a fight this season, while Cleveland has.  While I don’t see many wins in the Browns future, I see them competing hard, and that is why I am taking them to win this game. CLEVELAND WINS
  • Rams @ Eagles: I am going to regret this one, but sometimes you have to go out on a limb.  St. Louis’ defense is where I thought they’d take a step forward.  And with how bad Philly’s run game has looked the past couple weeks, look for Nick Foles to feel the pressure of the Rams front 7.  So give me a close road win. ST LOUIS WINS 
  • Falcons @ Giants: The Giants look like a contender the past two plus games, while Atlanta has been inconsistent.  Matt Ryan’s offense has been potent, but the defense hasn’t been up to the task.  And that is why I think a red hot Eli Manning gets the home win and moves his G-Men above .500. NEW YORK WINS
  • Buccaneers @ Saints: Tampa should be riding high off their first win of the season, a comeback victory over Pittsburgh.  This while the Saints have to try and figure out how to right the ship defensively and pull themselves out of a 1-3 hole.  Luckily for New Orleans, Tampa’s defense hasn’t been holding many down, so it’s a good team to face at home. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Texans @ Cowboys: Never thought this would be a match-up of two 3-1 teams.  Houston has been carried by their defense, while the run game and a better-than-previously thought defense has lifted Dallas. Jerry World has been surprisingly unkind to the boys, and I think it continues to be. HOUSTON WINS
  • Bills @ Lions: A good defense versus a very good defense.  Kyle Orton versus Matthew Stafford.  A road game for Buffalo.  I think you know where I am going with this. DETROIT WINS
  • Ravens @ Colts: This might be my favorite match-up of the week.  Andrew Luck has looked every bit as good as you’d have thought he should the past two weeks.  Baltimore has put up huge numbers despite being without Ray Rice.  Both squads are on win streaks coming in.  Indy’s defense is a concern, so I’m thinking this will be a high scoring affair, with the edge going to the home team.  INDIANAPOLIS WINS
  • Steelers @ Jaguars: Pitt is coming off a stunning loss to the Bucs, while Jacksonville just looks to make strides as they march towards a top pick. PITTSBURGH WINS

Sunday 4/4:25PM Games

  • Cardinals @ Broncos: The only game featuring two teams coming off byes, so in that respect they’re even.  With a combined 5-1 record, we also get to see two teams looking to push themselves above the rest in their respective conferences.  But let’s be honest, a home game for the Broncos, coming off a tough loss to Seattle.  Of course I am going with Peyton Manning. DENVER WINS
  • Chiefs @ 49ers: Kansas City did some things against New England.  Jamal Charles looked healthy and Alex Smith did a good job milking the clock with short completion passes.  It’s hard to trust Colin Kaepernick right now, but I think if Frank Gore continues to play well, this team can grind out a home win. SAN FRANCISCO WINS
  • Jets @ Chargers: I really thought New York would be better.  They upgraded the skill positions, bu the secondary has looked paper thin, and Geno Smith hasn’t proven to be the answer at quarterback yet. The Chargers are 3-1, including a big win over Seattle.  Philip Rivers has looked like the 2nd half quarterback that helped lead San Diego into the playoffs last season.  So to me, it’s a simple game to pick. SAN DIEGO WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Bengals @ Patriots: Tom Brady is 4-1 in his career against the Bengals.  But Tom Brady also has a struggling offense that couldn’t stop the Chiefs defense.  And Cincinnati’s defense so far has been a lot better than the Chiefs.  Give me the road team to be the only 4-0 team in the league. CINCINNATI WINS 

Monday Night Football

  • Seahawks @ Redskins: The defending champs are rested following a bye, while the Skins are rested after playing on Thursday Night in week 4.  Washington is in a shambles, while Seattle looks like a team poised to make a serious run at repeating.  SEATTLE WINS