NFL: Week 8 Picks

Bye Week: Titans, Jaguars, Giants, Packers, Rams and Cardinals.

Thursday Night Football

  • Dolphins @ Ravens: Don’t look now, but the Miami Dolphins are 4-2 on the season after a huge 4th quarter comeback against the Jets. Matt Moore came in after Jay Cutler was hurt and helped lead the charge. Baltimore has now lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Ravens offense hasn’t been able to sustain drives without a viable run game.  Neither team is very consistent on either side of the ball, but at home, I’ll take the Birds. BALTIMORE WINS

London Game

  • Vikings @ Browns: Minnesota is doing almost everything right at the moment, and have taken advantage of the Packers loss of Aaron Rodgers to move into first place in the NFC North. The Vikings have two pretty good options at running back, and while Case Keenum isn’t particularly impressive under center, the offense is at least giving themselves a chance, with six drives ending in made field-goals last week. Cleveland on the other hand doesn’t do much right, and are the lone win-less team in the AFC. 4 of their losses have been by 3 points, so maybe a glimmer of hope there, but the QB carousel continues as the Browns try to find a way into the win column. They might, but not this week, and not in London. MINNESOTA WINS

Sunday 1pm Games

  • Falcons @ Jets: The good news for Atlanta is they didn’t blow a big lead against the Pats in their Super Bowl rematch. The bad news for Atlanta is that they could only muster a garbage time touchdown. On the other hand, the Jets did blow a big lead on Sunday, allowing a 17-0 fourth quarter in favor of Miami. The offense was okay through 3 for New York, but nothing went right for them late. Both teams find themselves bottom half of their respective divisions, but the Falcons are on a 3-game slide after starting off hot and putting Super Bowl hangover questions to rest. I’ve been surprised by the Jets so far this season, but I like the Falcons to bounce back in this one. ATLANTA WINS
  • Panthers @ Buccaneers: Both of these NFC South teams are in the midst of losing skids.  Carolina is coming off an embarrassing performance against the Bears that saw them unable to find the end-zone once. The defense did it’s job, shutting down Chicago all game, but two of Cam Newton’s three turnovers were turned into scores. Tampa Bay lost in a back-and-forth game at Buffalo, despite a good day in the passing game by Jameis Winston. While the Bucs offense looked pretty good against the Bills last week, I think Cam Newton can, and will, bounce back from two bad games in a row. CAROLINA WINS
  • 49ers @ Eagles: The Niners streak of losing games by less than 3 points came to an end last week, but their losing streak did not. The only NFC team that is still win-less heads into action against the team with the best record through 7 weeks.  San Francisco was run up and down on by Dallas at home, while turning the ball over 3 times. Philadelphia easily handled Washington to end week 7. Carson Wentz continues to grow for the Eagles, and is making the Philly passing attack one with multiple big play options. A week ago I thought the Niners were moving in the direction of a win, but they took a serious step back and I don’t see any way they take down the Eagles this week. PHILADELPHIA WINS
  • Bears @ Saints: Winners of four straight, the Saints find themselves on top of the NFC South. Drew Brees struggled a bit against the Packers last week, but Mark Ingram continues to put up big numbers on the ground. Not to mention much better performances from the New Orleans defense after they started off the season very poorly.  Chicago easily picked up their 2nd-straight win, thanks to a big defensive day by rookie safety Eddie Jackson, who had a fumble recovery for a touchdown AND a pick-six, both for over 75 yards. The Bears have won their last two, but they will need more from rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky this week, as the Saints offensive is just more potent. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Chargers @ Patriots: This AFC match-up features two teams trending up. Los Angeles is on a 3-game winning streak since starting 0-4. The offense and defense are both looking better, and the change at kicker helped turn things around. New England is back atop the AFC East and are on a 3-game winning streak of their own. The Patriots got a good game from Stephen Gostkowski and a mistake free performance from Tom Brady. The reigning champs have already lost two games at home this season, and I don’t see them picking up a third this week. NEW ENGLAND WINS
  • Raiders @ Bills: Oakland snapped their 4-game losing skid with a game-winning drive that saw penalties take away, then give them new chances to walk off with the 1-point win over KC. Broken back and all, Derek Carr threw for over 400 yards, and over half of those were to Amari Cooper. The Raiders survived with little production on the ground, and two misses by their kicker.  The Bills are also coming off a week 7 win over Tampa. Buffalo got a solid day in the air from Tyrod Taylor, coupled with two scores from LeSean McCoy on the ground. The pass defense for the Bills wasn’t great, so that’s where Oakland can take advantage, though I think Buffalo will control clock and hold off the Raiders. BUFFALO WINS
  • Colts @ Bengals: Indianapolis continues to struggle, and couldn’t find a way to put up any points in week 7.  The Jaguars defense put pressure on Jacoby Brissett all day, to the tune of 10 sacks and two forced fumbles. The good news for the Colts is that neither of those fumbles were lost, and there weren’t any turnovers. That can be carried over to this game against Cincinnati. As for the Bengals, they struggled on the road against Pittsburgh, and got shut out in the second-half. They were able to hold the Steelers to field goals for their final 5 scores, but that’s about all they can hang their hats on from last week. The Colts won’t be shutout again, but they won’t win either. CINCINNATI WINS

Sunday 4/4:25pm Games

  • Texans @ Seahawks: DeShaun Watson and company are coming off their bye looking to continue putting up big offensive numbers. They’ll have their hands full as the Seahawks defense has shown an ability to look like the Legion of Doom off the past. They did however allow the struggling Titans to score 33 a few weeks ago, so not all hope is lost. The Seattle offense has been the inconsistency for them so far, though they looked better in the second half last week against New York. I think this could be a pretty good defensive battle, but even if it gets to be a high scoring affair, I’m still siding with the home team in this one. SEATTLE WINS
  • Cowboys @ Redskins: The running game continues to improve for Dallas, who saw Ezekiel Elliot find the endzone twice on Sunday. Dak Prescott also three for three other scores and the defense made easy work of the 49ers. Washington kept things close with Philly last week, thanks to another good day from kicker Jake Elliot and a nice day in the passing game for Kirk Cousins. But the run game continues to struggle fo the Redskins, and the ability to win the time of possession is ultimately why the Cowboys will picks up the road victory. DALLAS WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Steelers @ Lions: Pittsburgh has had some issues off the field, but on the field, they are starting to click in every phase. Le’Veon Bell has run for over 300 yards combined in their last two games (both wins) and after a 0 TD, 5 INT performance in week 5, Big Ben has been less error prone as well. Detroit is coming off their bye week, and enters on a 2 game slide. Their offense is putting up points, for both teams of late. In their week 6 loss to New Orleans, they allowed the Saints to force 5 turnovers and score 3 times. This game is going to be all about who hits harder, and who controls the clock. I like the Steelers in both cases. PITTSBURGH WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Broncos @ Chiefs: A big AFC West showdown caps off the week 8 action. After a 5-0 start, Kansas City has dropped two straight, including a heart-breaker last week in Oakland. The game came down to a final Raiders drive that saw them get an extra shot to score a game winning TD as time expired due to a defensive penalty. In week 5, Chiefs rookie back Kareem Hunt rushed for 107 yards; the last two weeks combined we ran for 108. Denver is struggling offensively as well, having scored just 10 points the last two weeks to teams with a combined 4 wins on the season. The Broncos were shutout, turned the ball over 3 times and were unable to turn any themselves. So who gets back on track? Give me Kansas City at home. KANSAS CITY WINS
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NFL: Week 2 Picks

One week down. Many to go. I went 9-6 in week 1 pick wise, thanks to a lot of road wins that went my way.

Thursday Night Football

  • Texans @ Bengals: Both teams enter Thursday night 0-1, thanks in large part to poor performances from their starting quarterbacks. It took Houston just a half to make a switch from Tom Savage to rookie Deshaun Watson, but it the deficit was too much to overcome for the Texans. 4 turnovers by the Texans and a smothering Jaguars defense didn’t help the cause.  As for the Bengals, they also faltered at home to start the season, not scoring a single point against Baltimore. Andy Dalton had his first 4 interception game since December 2013, also against the Ravens. The defense wasn’t bad for Cincy, who managed to hold their opponent to a touchdown and 3 field-goals. So which team can avoid an 0-2 start? As much as I like the Texans, the uncertainty at quarterback and another home game for the Bengals has me going with the veteran. CINCINNATI WINS
Sunday 1PM Games
  • Bills @ Panthers: Buffalo and Carolina both enter action at 1-0.  Neither team had much trouble in week 1, though the Bills game was close in the end.  The Panthers didn’t play the best game ever, but it was more than enough against the Niners. Both defense did a very good job stopping the run in week 1, while the Bills did a better job on the ground themselves than the Panthers. LeSean McCoy is going to be key for Buffalo, and while I think he can get his yards against anyone, I don’t think it will be enough against Cam Newton at home. CAROLINA WINS
  • Bears @ Buccaneers: Tampa finally gets to play their first game of the season after their week 1 match-up with Miami was rescheduled due to Hurricane Irma. Chicago is back at it after a representative showing against the reigning NFC Champion Falcons. The Bears did an especially good job stopping the ever dangerous running back duo of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman to a combined 53 yards. The issue will be stopping the Bucs passing game with Jameis Winston and Mike Evans. Tampa will be rested and hungry. Give me the home team. TAMPA BAY WINS
  • Browns @ Ravens: Cleveland didn’t look terrible in their first game of the season with rookie QB DeShone Kizer at the helm, but they still fell to the Steelers. They allowed one of the best receivers in the league to beat them. It happens. Baltimore completed the only shutout of the week, and it was largely because of the defense. Joe Flacco didn’t do much in the passing game other than a long TD pass to off-season acquisition Jeremy Maclin. The running game was sufficient against the Bengals as well.  Their ability to control clock, unlike what the Browns showed in week 1 is a big reason why I believe the Ravens will move to 2-0 this season. BALTIMORE WINS
  • Titans @ Jaguars: Jacksonville’s week 1 win was maybe the most surprising to me because of how dominant they were against the Texans on the road. I knew their defense would be good this season, but to rack up 10 sacks, cause four turnovers and score in week 1 is impressive for anyone. And their running game was great, with a big first game from rookie Leonard Fournette. As for Tennessee, they held their own against the Raiders, but would ultimately fall short. They were able to hold Oakland’s offense down enough to give them a chance, and were able to get some things going offensively themselves against a good defense. So while the Jags were so impressive in week 1, I’m going to take the chance and say Mariota finds a way to stay on his feet and get the road victory. TENNESSEE WINS
  • Cardinals @ Colts: Arizona took two bad losses in week 1. They allowed the Lions to walk all over them in the second half, and lost their best offensive weapon in running back David Johnson for at least half the season.  The Cardinals offense struggled even before Johnson went down and they committed four turnovers. The good news from them is they travel to play a Colts team without Andrew Luck for at least another week. Credit to the Rams defense, but Scott Tolzien and the Colts as a team had about as bad a performance to start a season as I can remember. They managed to score until the Bengals, but that’s little solace. Tolzien threw two pick sixes and the Rams scored a week 1 high 46 points. So if there is a team to play to get your first win, it’s Indianapolis, even without your best offensive weapon. ARIZONA WINS
  • Eagles @ Chiefs: Kansas City put the Jaamal Charles era behind them real quick, thanks to a record-breaking debut by Toledo’s Kareem Hunt. Alex Smith also did whatever he wanted in the pass game against the Patriots to open up the season. The defense had a problem holding the run game in check in the redzone, but other than that, they looked pretty good as well. The bad news for the Chiefs is they lost their best defensive player Eric Berry for the season.  Philadelphia allowed the Redskins to stay close for 3 quarters, than went 11-0 in the fourth to pick up the road win. Carson Wentz spread the wealth in the passing game, and the defense was able to get a good amount of pressure on Kurt Cousins.  So which team gets to 2-0? I’m rolling with the Chiefs in this one. KANSAS CITY WINS
  • Vikings @ Steelers: Sam Bradford was probably the most surprsing perofmrance of week 1, for a good rrason. The former first round pick came to Minnesota last sason and had his momemnts, but was mostly carreid by a very good Vikings defense. But against New Orleans, he shined. Temper expectations as it looked like anyone could throw against the Saints defense, he didn’t make any mistakes and Stefon Diggs looks like a legitmate weapon in the passing game. Pittsburgh alsmost lost to the Browns in week 1, despite having Le’Veon Bell to start the season, unlike last year. But Antonio Brown had a huge game and it all worked out.  They’ll need more from their skill positions in week 2 if they hope to move to 2-0. And while the Steelers defense is no slouch, I give the edge to the Vikings in this one. MINNESTOA WINS
  • Patriots @ Saints: The Patriots aren’t used to losing week one, while the Saints lost their season opener for the fourth straight season. Both teams struggled on defense, with the Pats allowing the aforementioned rookie back Kareem Hunt to run for 148 yards and the Saints allowing Sam Bradford to throw down field all night. Tom Brady looked shaky, while Drew Brees got better as the game went on. New England had the better run game in week 1, while the Saints tried to work Adrian Peterson into the mix, and failed. I liked the Saints to make a turnaround this season, but they left their defense in the preseason, and even though Brady wasn’t at his best, now you get a mad and hungry championship squad with the ability to score with anyone. I’ll go road team to take the victory in the Super Dome. NEW ENGLAND WINS
Sunday 4/4:25PM Games
  • Jets @ Raiders: New York almost found a way to get a week 1 victory against Buffalo, but fell short. Their opponents were able to get a win, quite easily on the road against Houston.  The Raiders looked solid in week 1, picking up the road win at Tennesee. They got a pretty good first game out of newly acquired Marshawn Lynch, and David Carr looked good under center. New York needs more from their own running game this week if they want to steal one in Oakland, but against this defense, that will be a big task. OAKLAND WINS
  • Dolphins @ Chargers: LA had a problem closing out games last season, and it continued in week 1. They had a chance on the road against Denver, but lost when they couldn’t kick a game tying field-goal as time expired. Miami, like Tampa, gets their first crack at things after Irma, with Jay Cutler now under center for the injured Ryan Tannehill. I don’t know what to expect from Cutler, who at the very least got another week of work in after taking a job in the booth in the off-season. But I don’t expect much with how he played in Chicago last season. I liked what the Chargers were able to do in the second half to make it a game with the Broncos, and I expect that to carry over this week. LOS ANGELES WINS
  • Cowboys @ Broncos: Dallas made easy work of their division rivals in week 1, but it wasn’t the sharpest game offensively for them. Part of that was the Giants defense doing a good job on Ezekiel Elliot.  But their own defense got good pressure, a good sign moving forward. Denver had to hold off a 2nd \-half comeback by the Chargers, thanks in big part to them leaving points on the board with a couple of big drops, and a missed field-goal by the usually on target Brian McManus. But overall it was a good showing by both teams, and this should be a fun game. It’ll be about who can control the clock, and while Dallas can do that with the best of them, palying in Denver presents it’s own challenges. That’s why I give the edge to teh Broncos in this match-up of 1-0 teams. DENVER WINS
  • Redskins @ Rams: Washington turned the ball over way too much against the Eagles in week 1, and couldn’t get anything going on the ground. Not a recipe for success, especially since they now face a tougher defense in week 2 on the road.  The Rams did what they were supposed to do and more in week 1, scoring at will on both sides of the football against a subpar Colts team. And with the big plays allowed by the Redskins in week 1, LA shouldnt have a problem doing so again this weekend. LOS ANGELES WINS
  • 49ers @ Seahawks: Neither team had a good showing offensively in week 1.  But Seattle has one of the better defenses in the league and you saw that in the way they held Aaron Rodgers at home at bay for so long Sunday. San Francisco did a good job of holding down a very good mobile qurterback in Cam Newton in week 1, so that’s where they’ll have to hang their hopes this week, in holding Russell Wilson down, who doint do much in week 1 himself. That being said, it’s hard to go into Seattle and win, and I don’t see the Seahawks going 0-2. SEATTLE WINS
Sunday Night Football: 
  • Packers @ Falcons: Neither Green Bay nor Atlanta had an easy time of it in week one, though the Packers faced a far tougher opponent than the Falcons.  It took Aaron Rodgers some time to get going against a very good Seattle defense, but he made the plays late to get his team another home win. Matt Ryan’s passing game didn’t look scared, finding another weapon in tightend Austin Hooper, but the run game seemed to have a Superbowl hangover. The Falcons have one of the best backfields in football, and they’ll need them to figure things out in week 2, so they can keep the ball out of Rodgers’ hands as much as possible. I expect this to be more of a shootout than either played in week 1, and give me the Falcons at home in this one. ATLANTA WINS
Monday Night Football
  • Detroit @ Giants: Color me impressed with how the Lions played in week 1. I thought for sure the Cardinals defense would have their way with them, but it wasn’t so. They took advantage of a big injury, and scored off turnovers. The Fiants on the other hand, were a mess on offense. They either gave Eli Manning no time to throw, or when they did, there were either drops or overthrows. The defense was ok, but not as good as you would have haoped. The siliver linging is when Manning did connect with his young playmakers, they were for big gains. With Odell Beckham Jr. expected back, it gives Manning another option.  But they’ll need more , much more form their running game if they expect to win many games this season. I think the New York crowd will get them going. NEW YORK WINS