NFL: Week 14 Picks

Carolina remained undefeated in week 13, but it took a huge second half to do so.  Meanwhile in the AFC, there’s a three way tie for the best record at 10-2 between Denver, Cincinnati and New England, who managed to lose their second straight game and fall out of a bye if the season ended today.

Lucky for them, and us, we still have plenty of football left.  I moved to 109-82 in my picks this season with a 10-6 mark in week 13.

Thursday Night Football

  • Vikings @ Cardinals: Minnesota couldn’t make a move in week 13, losing badly to a streaking Seahawks team. They allowed the Packers to get back into first place.  As for the Cards, they are sitting comfortably in the two spot in the NFC and still have a three game in lead in their division.  Both teams have been solid in all phases all season, but Arizona holds a huge edge in the passing game. Until Teddy Bridgewater can consistently put up big numbers in the air, this team is going to be one dimensional on offense.  And against an above the fourth best rush defense in the league, Minnesota is going to need more from their second year QB.  So as much as I like this Vikings team, I like the home team even more.  ARIZONA WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Bills @ Eagles: Both team are coming off nice wins against playoff hopefuls, while keeping their own playoffs alive.  Philly took down the Patriots, giving them their second loss in a row, a rarity in the Tom Brady era.  Buffalo evened up their record taking down the Texans, who remain tied atop the AFC South.  This is another game where both teams have been inconsistent all season, hence the .500 and below records.  I have a lot more faith in the Bills defense however, so give me the road team to move above .500, while the Eagles drop out of first in the East. BUFFALO WINS
  • 49ers @ Browns: Two of the worst teams in the league square off this weekend in Cleveland.  The Browns currently hold the worst record, with San Fran sitting two games better than them.  The Niners hurt their “chances” at the top draft pick when they took down the Bears in OT.  Neither team has had the season they would’ve hoped for and while both teams have a lot of on and off the field questions, I think the Niners find a way to pull out another game this week.  SAN FRANCISCO WINS
  • Lions @ Rams: St. Louis started off the season with a lot of promise, but have totally collapsed in the second half.  The opposite can be said for Detroit, who took two months to get a win, and have looked a lot more like the team we expected here the past six weeks or so.  Both enter with 4-8 records, but the Lions are the hotter team, and the more talented team.   DETROIT WINS
  • Saints @ Buccaneers: Early on this season, both of these NFC South teams looked like they’d be in-contention for the number 1 pick.  And while New Orleans still has an outside shot, both teams have shown glimpses of hope.  Tampa Bay knew there would be struggles with a rookie QB, but the number 1 overall pick in Jameis Winston has his team at .500 and in a spot for a possible wild card.  Drew Brees and company had gotten to .500 after a very rough start, and despite a two-touchdown lead on the undefeated Panthers in week 13, the Saints are in the middle of a four-game slide.  So wins this division match-up? While the Bucs running game is one of the best in the league, and the Saints defense hasn’t been anything to write home about, I’m going to go out on a limb here and take the road team to pick up their fifth win this weekend.  NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Titans @ Jets: The Jets needed OT in week 13, but they kept their playoff hopes alive against their stadium mates.  As for Tennessee, they remain in line for another prime draft pick with a 3-9 record. While the Titans have the ability to score in bunches, they don’t have the ability to stop good teams most days. And the Jets are a good team that can beat you in several ways.  That’s why I like the Jets to better their chances at a wildcard berth this week. NEW YORK WINS
  • Steelers @ Bengals: Pittsburgh has been the most resilient team in the league this season, sitting in a playoff spot in the competitive AFC despite stretches with Ben Roethlisberger and their top flight running back Le’Veon Bell.  But they still enter action three games behind the Bengals for the AFC North, and a Cincinnati win this week gives them that crown.  This should be a fun game, and despite two good defenses, could be a high scoring one.  But whether it is a shoot out or not, I think the Bengals get the job done and move closer to a much needed first round bye. CINCINNATI WINS
  • Colts @ Jaguars: Neither team has a winning record, but one team has a shot at a division crown.  Indianapolis, despite a bad start to the season and losing their Pro-Bowl caliber QB remain in a fight for the AFC South crown.  Jacksonville is just playing out the season, preparing for another high draft pick.  Sure the Jags have shown promise, but they’ve also shown how young they are.  Indy and the ageless Matt Hasselbeck have something to prove and fight for, so give me the Colts to move above .500 here in week 14. INDIANAPOLIS WINS
  • Chargers @ Chiefs: San Diego has been a disappointment this season, on both sides of the football, while their counterparts have rebounded from a rough start and find themselves in the playoff hunt. Kansas City has won six straight, and are the second hottest team in the league.  Their defense has been great all season, and now their offense has closed the gap.  They’re playoff vets, and not a team to be taken lightly.  The Chargers can definitely play spoiler with Philip Rivers under center, I just don’t think they will.  KANSAS CITY WINS
  • Redskins @ Bears: Washington had a chance to take hold of the NFC Least in week 13, instead they lost a strange game to Dallas.  Chicago lost another game late, this time to San Francisco.  If the NFC East wasn’t so bad, this would just be a game between two bad teams looking for better draft position.  Instead, it has playoff implications too.  And while Washington has been a lot better in the second half of the season, I like what the Bears have been able to do in the ground game of late.  So give me the Bears to make things more difficult and hard to define in the NFC East. CHICAGO WINS
  • Falcons @ Panthers: After starting off the season on fire, the Falcons have come crashing back to earth in a big way.  Not only are they on a five-game losing streak they are no behind two teams in the NFC South.  And a road tilt against the league’s last undefeated team isn’t a great confidence boaster.  Cam Newton is playing like an MVP and the defense is playing like champions.  Will Carolina stay undefeated through the regular season? Who knows. But unless Atlanta stops turning the ball over and gets the offense of weeks 1-4 back, the Panthers should stay undefeated another week.  CAROLINA WINS
  • Seahawks @ Ravens:  Which bird will fly highest in week 14?  That’s easy.  The Seahawks are on fire, while the Ravens wings were clipped weeks ago.  The NFC should be scared with how great Seattle’s offense has looked in recent weeks.  And despite the fact that Baltimore hasn’t been horrible defensively, there’s no way they can compete with what the reigning NFC champs are bringing on either side of the ball, not this year.  SEATTLE WINS

Sunday 4/425PM Games

  • Raiders @ Broncos: Another week, another win for Denver, who enters week 14 as the two seed in the AFC.  As for the Raiders, who sit two games out of the playoffs, they are just looking to get to .500.  This AFC West match-up should still be a good one, but I don’t think it will end in any other way but with another Broncos win.  Denver’s defense is too good, and the Raiders offense too inconsistent. DENVER WINS
  • Cowboys @ Packers: 4-8 versus 8-4 and yet somehow, both teams have a shot at their division.  It’s the sad state of the NFC East that a Dallas team on QB number 3 can say that, but after Matt Cassel picked up his first win in a Cowboys uniform Monday against the Redskins, they are just a game out.  Meanwhile, the Packers wild finish in Detroit on Aaron Rodgers game ending Hail Mary, coupled with the Vikings loss has them back atop the NFC North.  Both teams want this game, but Green Bay needs it.  The Packers can’t miss the playoffs after tehir 6-0 start, while Dallas should really focus on getting better in the draft and looking ahead to getting Tony Romo back for next season.  Dallas and their fans probably don’t see it that way, but the knowledge they can win this division and be this bad, should tell them a healthy, revamped team in 2016 could go far.  Besides, Rodgers and company have been bad at home lately, something they’re not used to.  I can’t see another letdown for them. GREEN BAY WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Patriots @ Texans: It’s a huge AFC battle on Sunday Night with playoff implications on both sides.  As previously mentioned, both teams took unexpected losses in week 13.  After starting 10-0, the Pats are now in danger of losing a bye, as both the Bengals and Broncos enter the week with identical 10-2 records.  Houston is .500 and could have a shot at having the AFC South all to themselves if the Colts fall this week. I though the Pats would come out angry last week, and instead were embarrassed by the below .500 Eagles.  Give me an angry Tom Brady to get back on track and hurt Houston’s playoff chances in week 14.   NEW ENGLAND WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Giants @ Dolphins: One team still has a shot at the division, while the other has a lot of work to do just to get into the playoff discussion and stay out of the cellar in their own division.  Both teams enter action with 5-7 records. Of New York’s seven losses, six of them have come by one score (18 combined points), meaning if they’d converted even half of those, they’d be 8-4 and be well on their way to the NFC East crown. Instead, they’re in a three way tie for 1st.  As for Miami, they’re up, yet mostly down season has them looking up at everyone else in the AFC East.  I keep doing this every week, but for a team led by a coach/QB tandem that have won championships, in years where they were written off about this time, I’m going with New York one last time to save their season. NEW YORK WINS

 

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NFL: Power Rankings Heading Down the Home Stretch

And then there was one.  Carolina stands alone as the league’s lone remaining undefeated team after starting the week with a Thanksgiving Day win.  Now that the calendar has flipped to December, the race for the postseason heats up.  Here is my look at the 10 best teams, and who the three worst teams are, as we march towards Superbowl 50.

Top 10 Teams Through Week 12

  1. Carolina Panthers (11-0): I would put them at the top even if New England had remained undefeated. Why? Because Carolina has gotten better every week dating back to late last season.  Early in the season they struggled on offense, but their defense has been on point all year, currently ranked second overall just behind the Broncos. Add a top five run game, an extremely confident QB and a balanced passing attack, and you’ve got the clear favorite to come out of the NFC right now.  There are more experienced teams vying to bring them down, but it’ll be hard to do it before the second round, as they will end the season with one of the two byes.
  2. New England Patriots (10-1):  They’ve been close to a loss for a few weeks, and it took overtime for them to finally get one.  But to write them off as some have after their loss to Denver on Sunday night is ridiculous.  They have suffered a lot of injuries on offense, which is why they have been on a bit of a “slide” of late.  But they still have their most important offense weapon in Tom Brady healthy, and Rob Gronkowski’s injury wasn’t as bad as previously thought.  They could lose a bye with the recent issues, but I wouldn’t put it past them to rally and hold on even with the injuries.  And with a huge lead in the AFC East, something catastrophic would have to happen for them not to make the playoffs. They were knocked down in week 12, but they are still the best team in the AFC until they get knocked out.
  3. Denver Broncos (9-2): It remains to be seen if Peyton Manning has been “Wally Pipped” by Brock Osweiler, but what I do know, is the Broncos offense is finally on par with the defense this season.  Sure the run game has picked up, but it doesn’t hurt when the QB isn’t turning the ball over as much as Manning was before he got hurt.  Not only was taking down the undefeated Patriots great for this team’s morale, it also means they still have a shot at the number 1 seed in the AFC.  They found a way to go 8-0 with a less than spectacular QB performance in the first half.  With a younger, hungry QB, this team could go very, very far this season.  
  4. Cincinnati Bengals (9-2): A week 12 loss helped turn the tide after a two-game skid ended their run at perfection.  Other than on loss which was due to poor offense, the other poor defense, Cincinnati has been consistently great on both sides of the ball.  They’ve shown the ability to absolutely dominate, and win the close games.  They have a shot a bye, with a game against their biggest competition, Denver, ahead of them.  Andy Dalton  is having the best season of his young career, something he and the organization need to continue through the playoffs after so many first round exits.  Despite being ranked ninth, the run game has been up and down, and they need it to be more consistent.  But they’ve shown they can play with anyone, and look primed to get the second round monkey off their back if they continue doing what they’ve been doing, and stay healthy and hungry.
  5. Arizona Cardinals (9-2): It’s amazing what this team has been the past two seasons with a healthy Carson Palmer.  15-2 as the Cardinals starter, with a TD-INT ratio of 38-12, the 13-year veteran is doing a great job leading this team. Larry Fitzgerald is having a renaissance.  Their two losses were the only two games where they really let down their guard and played down to their opponents, showing when on point, they can be and have beaten everybody.  Arizona boasts the top ranked total offense and fifth defense in the league, proving they are a legit title contender if they can stay healthy.
  6. Minnesota Vikings (8-3): It’s amazing the difference Adrian Peterson has made on this team.  A rejuvenated rushing attack has lessened the pressure on second year QB Teddy Bridgewater, who really hasn’t been impressive at all this season.  This team truly lives by the ground and pound mentality, relying heavily on it’s top ranked rushing offense, and it’s top 10 defense.  They’re better stopping the pass, which is key in the North with the likes of Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers.  They’re a game up in the division while currently holding a better division record than Green Bay.  Their last four games are tough, with two against the best of the NFC West, and a week 17 match-up that could determine the division against the Packers.  But if the run game can continue eating up clock, and Bridgewater can find a way to be even a bit better than mediocre, they are in the drivers seat in the North.
  7. Green Bay Packers (7-4): Despite their poor play of late, this team is still a force to be reckoned with.  A bright spot in their Thanksgiving Day loss was the return of Eddie Lacy, who had been a disappointment this season.  Aaron Rodgers found success early on without his favorite target in Jordy Nelson, throwing to the likes of James Jones.  But for some reason, things haven’t clicked on offense for late.  The Packers QB isn’t turning the ball over, but his completion percentage is down and with the absence of a consistent run game, the offense has become one dimensional.  They know how to win, but one big worry for this team right now is Rodgers health.  He said he lost feeling in his fingers against Chicago, so you have to wonder how that will manifest itself going forward.
  8. Kansas City Chiefs (6-5): They’ve won five straight, and are doing exactly what I said they needed to do when I looked ahead to the second half:

    Five of their final eight are against below .500 teams, and the three that aren’t, are the teams ahead of them in the West.  They can move up quickly if Alex Smith can continue to spread the wealth in the pass game and avoid the late turnovers that have plagued him.

    Smith hasn’t been reckless with the football and the team is scoring points in a major way.  When they started 1-5, the most points they’d managed to score were 28 against Green Bay, but they then allowed 38.  During their five-game winning streak, Kansas City has score no fewer than 23 points, while allowing a total of 61 points.  And with the schedule still in their favor down the stretch, and a struggling AFC, this team is primed for a wildcard spot.

  9. Seattle Seahawks (6-5): They’re finally starting to look like the back-to-back NFC Champs that they are.  Russell Wilson had one of his best performances in week 11, throwing for five touchdowns. The defense still wasn’t what it’s been, but if the offense can look even close to what it did last week for the stretch run, they’ll make it to the playoffs in this season’s NFC.  At this point, they’re only competing with two teams for the wild card (Atlanta and Green Bay).
  10. Houston Texans (6-5):  After making the Dolphins look like an offensive juggernaut in week seven, the defense has gotten back on track in a big way.  This team was built around their defense and run game, but the loss of Arian Foster meant the passing game needed to step up.  And after many changes at quarterback, Brian Hoyer has done enough to lock up the job for now.  Four straight wins have put them in a position not only to make the playoffs, but to win the AFC South.  And we’ve seen what JJ Watt can do in the playoffs, so the AFC should be nervous.

Three Fighting for Number 1

30. Tennessee Titans (2-9)

31. San Francisco 49ers (3-8)

32. Cleveland Browns (2-8)

 

NFL: Week 10 Picks

I went 5-8 last week, bringing my season total to 73-59. Let’s get to week 10’s picks.

Thursday Night Football

  • Bills @ Jets: Both teams are coming off wins and sit at .500 or better behind the Patriots in the AFC East.  The Jets snapped their two game skid last week, but it still wasn’t pretty.  The run game was non-existent outside of the red-zone.  They allowed Blake Bortles to throw for 381 yards but did pick him off twice and a recovery of a fumble late helped seal their 5th win.  As for Buffalo, they got off to a fast start and never looked back against Miami in week 9.  The Bills relied heavily on the run game, with two 100 yard rushers, though when they did go to the air, QB Tyrod Taylor hit his mark.  Taylor was a very efficient 11/12 for 181 yards.  So will this game end with both teams owning 5-4 records or will the Jets move to two games over .500, dropping back to one below?  Give me the home team to better their wild card positioning this week.  NEW YORK WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Jaguars @ Ravens: It’s a match-up of 2-6 teams with Baltimore coming off their bye week and the Jaguars coming off the loss to New York. Jacksonville can score with the best of them, but can also be shut down pretty easily, showing their youth and inconsistency. The Ravens however, have been in every game they’ve played, but have failed to make the big play late more often than not. I’ll take the home team in this one.  BALTIMORE WINS
  • Browns @ Steelers: Last week the Browns couldn’t stop the Bengals quest for perfection, while the Steelers found a way to overcome another Ben Roethlisberger injury and no Le’Veon Bell.  Johnny Football couldn’t save the Browns from a seventh loss, while DeAngelo Williams went off on the ground, and Antonio Brown had a record day in the air.  Despite losing their starter again, I still like the Steelers in this one because their defense and run game are way better than what Cleveland has to offer. PITTSBURGH WINS
  • Panthers @ Titans: Well, the Panthers are still undefeated and have now put together two very impressive and balanced wins.  Tennessee feels better about itself after snapping a six game slide and getting week one Marcus Mariota back.  Too bad they face Carolina this week, because there is no way all three phases of the Titans squad can keep up with the Panthers who are on a league high 12-game winning streak dating back to last season. CAROLINA WINS
  • Bears @ Rams: The Rams are a .500 and actually have the upper hand over the Seahawks if they both win this week.  Chicago found a way without Matt Forte to pick up their third win of the season thanks to a big night from Alshon Jeffery and a good job stopping the Chargers run game.  I like the Rams defense but they tend to play up or down to their opponents.  That being said, I like St Louis’ chances at home even if they do play down to Chicago. ST LOUIS WINS
  • Cowboys @ Buccaneers: This should be the last week the Cowboys are without Tony Romo, and considering they haven’t won without him, that’s a good thing.  They haven’t gotten killed without him, but the offense just hasn’t done enough to help out the defense.  As for Tampa, they’ve been very up and down, but have been in their last few games until the end.  Unless the Cowboys get the run game going in Tampa, I like the Buccaneers to make it seven straight losses for Dallas. TAMPA BAY WINS
  • Lions @ Packers: A down-and-out Detroit team versus a down Green Bay team.  Detroit continues to have the clearest path to the number one pick thanks to their barely one-win on the season so far.  Now they face a Packers team that is struggling after a 7-0 start.  Not to mention that it’s been two decades since the Lions have won on the road versus the Pack.  Make it another road loss for the hapless Lions. GREEN BAY WINS
  • Dolphins @ Eagles: One team dropped a division match-up last week, the other picked up a needed division win.  Miami sits in the cellar of the AFC East, while Philadelphia evened up their record and moved within a game of the Giants for first place in the NFC East. The offense wasn’t the problem for the Dolphins last week, but it hasn’t been a consistent year for Tannehill and company. I still don’t trust Sam Bradford so I like the Fins on the road.  MIAMI WINS
  • Saints @ Redskins: New Orleans got another big game on offense from Drew Brees, but turnovers and the defense’s inability to stop anyone hurt them again.  Washington had no chance against the Pats last week, dropping to 0-4 on the road.  They’re 3-1 at home this season, so maybe they play better, but I still like the Saints in this one. NEW ORLEANS WINS

Sunday 4/425PM Games

  • Vikings @ Raiders: This is one of the most intriguing match-ups of the week.  Minnesota is off to one of it’s best starts at 6-2, while the Raiders strong start was hurt by a loss to Pittsburgh a week ago.  The Vikings escaped with an OT win against a good defensive team last week.  I liked Minnesota to challenge for a playoff spot before the season, and while I thought Oakland would be better than a year ago (not hard when you only win three games), I didn’t think they’d be in a playoff battle this year. Minnesota has been carried by their defense this season, but I think Oakland finds a way to get back in the win column at home. OAKLAND WINS
  • Chiefs @ Broncos: Coming off their first loss of the season, the Broncos also had their QB on the sidelines during practice this week.  As for Kansas City, they’ve started to look a lot better and have a second half schedule that could get them back in the AFC West race quickly if they continue to get better. That being said, Denver’s defense will be hungry after a poor showing against Indianapolis, so give me the home team to get back on track, especially if Manning plays. DENVER WINS
  • Giants @ Patriots: New York is taking on New England in a season that finds the Patriots undefeated… where have I heard this before?  The last time this happened, it was week 17, and the Pats eked out their 16th win to stay undefeated in the regular season.  Then went on to lose in the Superbowl to those same Giants.  Now here we are, with the Giants offense starting to click, going into Foxborough with a chance to hand the Pats their first loss.  These two teams play close games in the Manning-Brady era, and I don’t think that changes this week, something that will be different for the 2015 Pats.  But it’s tough in a normal year to win in New England, so give me the Pats to stay undefeated.  NEW ENGLAND WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Cardinals @ Seahawks: Talk about a big division match-up in prime-time.  Arizona has been the best team in the NFC West through the first half of the season.  But two games with the Seahawks in the 2nd half will be the marker for how read they are.  The reigning NFC champions have been very up and down this season and have a shot to get above .500.  It’s hard to go into Seattle and win, but I like what the Cardinals have done on both sides of the ball this season about as little I like the Seahawks offense this season. ARIZONA WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Texans @ Bengals: Houston is coming off their bye, while the Bengals are coming off their 8th win of the season.  The Texans won their game prior to their bye, but they weren’t all that impressive, particularly on the ground. Cincinnati continues to click on all cylinders and being at home with a chance to move to 9-0 is huge. CINCINNATI WINS

NFL: Week 9 Picks

Another week come and gone.  My picks record stands at 69-50 after an 8-6 week.

Bye weeks: Ravens, Chiefs, Cardinals, Texans, Lions and Seahawks

Thursday Night Football

  • Browns @ Bengals: Josh McCown is out (due to injury), Johnny Manziel is back in.  And while McCown has played well, Manziel led the Browns to one of their best games this season and probably should’ve been given more of a chance to be the starter. But it really doesn’t matter who starts for Cleveland on Thursday, because they face an undefeated Bengals team on the road.  I like the Bengals to find their run game again and get a fairly easy week 9 victory to improve to 8-0. CINCINNATI WINS 

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Dolphins @ Bills: It’s a battle to stay out of the cellar in the AFC East, and not a fight for a possible wild card like both teams probably thought it might be coming into the season.  The winner improves to .500 and stays relavant.  The loser doesn’t.  Miami is coming off a dud against the the Pats on a long week, while the Bills are coming off their bye week.  I don’t like either of these teams right now, but I trust the Dolphins offense more than the Bills, so I’ll take the road team in this one. MIAMI WINS
  • Packers @ Panthers: Aaron Rodgers and company had themselves their worst performance of the year last week and were handed their first loss by an undefeated Broncos squad.  And it doesn’t get easier this week against another undefeated team.  The Packers offense has been on a decline the past few weeks, so it’s not a surprise they looked terrible at the best defense in the league.  Now they get a red hot Carolina team that has won 11 straight dating back to last season.  That being said, while I finally trust this Panthers team, I also didn’t like what I saw in the second half against the Colts when they nearly blew a double digit lead.  I can’t imagine another horrible performance from Rodgers, so I think this is the week the Panthers fall, as the Green Bay defense has been very good all year. GREEN BAY WINS
  • Jaguars @ Jets: The Jets have lost two straight, while the Jags are coming off their second win and their bye week.   New York’s defense has been a shell of itself the last couple weeks, and they have issues at QB.  But they’re a better team than the Jags and I think they correct things enough to get their 5th win of the season. NEW YORK WINS
  • Rams @ Vikings: Both teams are playing well right now. St Louis is living by their run game, while the Vikings are living by their defense. The Rams tend to play up to their opponents, so I expect this to be a well-played, even game that comes down to the fourth water. I like the home team to make the plays down the stretch and improve to 6-2. MINNESOTA WINS
  • Redskins @ Patriots: The Redskins have had some ups, some downs, some more downs and a bye week.  The Patriots have been all up and it doesn’t look like it’s going away anytime soon.  The reigning champs are healthy and have a very comfortable lead in the AFC East.  And as bad as it has been at times for Washington, they are in the most wide open division in the NFC.  Let’s be honest, this will probably be the most lopsided game of the week. NEW ENGLAND WINS
  • Titans @ Saints: Tennessee is in shambles and has a new head coach.  What they need is week one Marcus Mariota back and a defense.  New Orleans is on fire, and looking more like the team I thought they’d be to start the season. Their defense is a glaring weak point, but the offense showed last week it can do whatever it wants when clicking.  It’ll be another high scoring win for the Saints here in week nine. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Raiders @ Steelers: Oakland looks like it’s rounding into shape after a big road win over the Jets.  Pittsburgh got Ben Roethlisberger back, but lost Le’Veon Bell in a loss to Cincinnati. The offense is clicking for Oakland, and the defense is doing it’s job.  The Steelers were able to stay afloat without Big Ben, and now need to do the same again without Bell, who missed the first two games of the season.  I think this will be a good game, but as hard as it is to go into Pittsburgh and win, I think the Raiders find a way and move to 5-3. OAKLAND WINS

Sunday 4/425PM Games

  • Giants @ Buccaneers: One team is coming off a last minute loss, the other, an OT win.  New York had one of its best offensive performances in team history.  But the defense couldn’t stop anyone, so Eli Manning became the first QB in NFL history to throw six touchdowns and zero interceptions in a loss.  As for Tampa Bay, they nearly blew a big lead for the second week in a row.  For that reason, the Giants should have no excuse but to put up another big number on offense, and with the possible return of Jason Pierre-Paul and a worse offensive team than New Orleans as their opponents, they should have no trouble getting back over .500. NEW YORK WINS
  • Falcons @ 49ers: Atlanta is coming off a bad loss to the Bucs, while the Niners in a time of transition after benching Colin Kaepernick for Blaine Gabbert.  San Francisco has a bottom five defense and offense, while the Falcons continue to be one of the NFL’s best despite the week eight hiccup.  This should be an easy win for Atlanta as they look to stay at worst a game back of Carolina in the South.  ATLANTA WINS
  • Broncos @ Colts: Denver is coming off their best win of the season and boast the league’s best defense.  Imagine if Peyton Manning was actually playing well? It can still happen of course, and against a struggling Indianapolis team, it could be a breakout week for the an tied with for the most QB wins in NFL history.  And wouldn’t it be fitting for Manning to get the record win against the team he won a majority of those games with?  Meanwhile, his replacement in Andrew Luck finally looked like himself late against Carolina on Monday.  But it still ended in another loss.  For as explosive as he is, turnovers continue to plague him and are holding this team back right now.  An offensive coordinator move could help, but against this defense, it’s going to be tough. DENVER WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Eagles @ Cowboys: It’s a battle of two struggling NFC East teams that despite their issues, have a legitimate chance to rebound and win their division.  Both teams have been more down than up this season, but for very different reasons. Healthy Dallas was 2-0, but they’ve lost 5 straight without Tony Romo.  Fairly healthy Philadelphia has just been very inconsistent, particularly on offense.  So who keeps hope alive on Sunday Night?  Give me Dez Bryant to have a big second week back from injury and a much better Matt Cassel.  DALLAS WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Bears @ Chargers: Two teams having disappointing seasons square off in prime-time.  The trade deadline has come and gone and the Bears didn’t tear down the roster like some thought they might.  As for the Chargers, their offense has been pretty good all season, but they will now be without a big weapon in Keenan Allen.  Neither team has a good defense, but based on the offenses, I think San Diego has one of their best games of the season and their easiest wins as well.  SAN DIEGO WINS

NFL: Halfway to the Finish Line – Where does your team stand through 8 weeks?

Time flies when you’re having fun, which must be why it is so crazy to think we are half way through another NFL season.  And that means it’s time to take a look at my five teams, my bottom teams, and the best of the rest through the first half of the NFL season.

5 Best Teams Through Week 8

  1. New England Patriots (7-0) – There’s just no stopping this team right now.  Not even in their worst game of the season against the New York Jets could they be stopped from putting up 30. The Superbowl Champs are in their opponents heads in every way possible and they’re taking advantage.  Not to mention Tom Brady is having one of his most efficient seasons at 38. They’ve got a massive three game lead in the AFC East, so unless something crazy happens, they’ll easily win their seventh straight division title.
  2. Denver Broncos (7-0) – That defense. It’s the reason they are where they are. Denver’s is number one in total defense, passing defense and fourth in run defense.  I’d say that’s pretty good. The run game showed up BIG time in week 8 to help take down the previously undefeated Packers at home.  Peyton Manning has had an uncharacteristically bad start to the season, but it hasn’t mattered. Most of their wins have been dicey, but they made it look easy in week 8 and showed just what this team can do.  If they can get more consistency out of the passing game, they will go very far this season.
  3. Cincinnati Bengals (7-0) – For a team that has made the playoffs four years running, they’ve still got a lot to prove thanks to all of their first round exits.  They could finish 16-0 and still not be thought as favorites. Not here though. They’ve played smart, mistake free football all season, have an MVP candidate in Andy Dalton and a top flight defense.  They played their worst game in week 7, but as good teams do, they found a way to pull out another victory.
  4. Carolina Panthers (7-0) – I was skeptical of this team through four weeks because it’s hard to win every week when your offense can barely scrape together 200 yards of offense. But here they are, still undefeated and atop the NFC South. Their defense has been great all season, though it did allow Andrew Luck to force OT with a poor second half.  And with a top five run game, the passing game was able to work itself out and get better every week.  They’re not blowing teams out, but their wins tend to feel easy nonetheless. The second half will test them, as they haven’t faced the Falcons yet, but if they stay healthy, look for them to make it to the playoffs one way or another.
  5. Green Bay Packers (7-1) – It hasn’t been pretty offensively of late, and running into the Broncos defense didn’t help.  Aaron Rodgers had just 77 yards passing in their first loss of the season, and the run game didn’t do much better.  But they are still capable and have a pretty favorable schedule the rest of the way, with five games still left in their division.  The defense has been there all season, so you hope as a Packers fan their inability to stop the run game in the red zone week 8 was just an anomaly.  And you can’t be too worried about Aaron Rodgers, who has had many more great games than duds in his career.

Worst Teams Through Week 8

  1. San Francisco 49ers (2-6)Fans were calling for Colin Kaepernick to be benched, and it’s a fair call that’s rumored to be set in motion.  When your quarterback, whether they’re a mobile QB or not, rarely ever thinks pass first, that’s a problem.  And if you’re going to run as much as Kaepernick, you better move the chains more than the 49ers do. This run first mentality has also led to 28 sacks, second most in the league this season.  San Fran has struggled on both sides of the ball, sitting dead last in total offense and points per game, as well as bottom five in total defense.  They play in one of the best divisions in football, and they’ll be very lonely in the cellar for the rest of the year.
  2. Tennessee Titans (1-6) – Opening weekend was such a tease for Titans fans.  Marcus Mariota burst on the scene against the Bucaneers, putting up 50 easy.  Then it all went down hill from there.  Six sraight losses and theyve taken their bye already.  Mariota has missed the last two with injury.  The defense has had some pretty good games, but the offense is non-existent with no end in sight.
  3. Detroit Lions (1-7) – They’re just bad. Plain and simple. They were 11-5 last season and didn’t lose much in the off-season, so I thought they’d be back again this year.  But that hasn’t been the case, and they’re just lucky to not be win-less at this point.  Matthew Stafford has a terrible TD-INT ratio of 13-11, adding to seven lost fumbles by the team.  The run game has been non-existent all season.  The defense can’t stop anyone, and didn’t even stop the Bears well in their only win of the year.  Detroit is allowing the most points per game.  It’s all pretty bad for the Motor City right now.

Best of the Rest

  • Arizona Cardinals (6-2) – They did what they needed to do in the first half of the season, but now they face probably the hardest second half schedules in the league.  It helps that they’ve got a two game lead in the NFC West, and that they’ve remained relatively healthy.  But they’re going to need to stay focused for the full 60 minutes in every game, because the two times they haven’t they’ve lost.  Of their eight remaining opponents, you’ve got three teams that are currently playoff contenders, two games with the Seahawks or the Rams, who they’ve lost to already. They’re very well-balanced on both sides of the ball, sitting top five in total offense and total defense.
  • Minnesota Vikings (5-2) – I’m not sure how I feel about this team yet.  I thought they’d have a shot coming into the season at a playoff spot, and I was right .  But they haven’t had a hard schedule to this point, and every team they play the rest of the way is currently above .500 except the Bears in week 15.  They win close games, they win at home and are just a game behind the Packers in the North with both games left against them.  They truly control their destiny, but could also fall out of this very quickly if Teddy Bridgewater doesn’t figure things out in the passing game.
  • Atlanta Falcons (6-2) – Early on they were running all over opponents with a breakout start from Devonta Freeman.  They had a cake first half, but managed to lose two games to below .500 teams.  But that’s all slowed down.  Four straight nail-biters against the non-elite and you have question how far this team can actually go.  Two second half match-ups versus Carolina will tell a lot, and decide the division, but only if they continue to beat up on the teams they should.  Matt Ryan needs to find consistency in the passing game again.
  • New York Giants (4-4) – It’s amazing how many late game collapses this team has had through 8 weeks.  If you watched every minute of this team as I have, you know they should be no worse than 6-2, having only been out of 1 game (at Philly).  Their defense played well the first four weeks, but mismanagement led to their first two losses.  Eli Manning is having probably the best start to a season in year two of Ben McAdoo’s offense.  But the defense has been on a rapid decline since week 5 and are on pace to go down as maybe the worst defense of all time.  Injuries haven’t helped, but allowing 7 touchdown passes a week after allowing the Cowboys to run for 233 yards is just unacceptable.  If the defense can at least be average, this team should still capture the NFC East pretty easily, which is why I keep them in the best-of-the-rest category.  I know this defense can get better with some health, and they’ll get another body back in Jason Pierre-Paul.
  • Oakland Raiders (4-3) – No this isn’t a mistake. The Black and Silver have already won more games than they did in 2014, and as many as they did in 2013.  They currently boast the second ranked run defense in the league, and Charles Woodson looks like he’s 29 again, leading the league with five interceptions.  Amari Cooper is proving why he was a top draft pick and Derek Carr continues to improve week-to-week. They’re not turning the ball over, as Carr has a 5-1 TD to INT ratio.  Oakland finds themselves in second place in the AFC West, in a fight for a while card and are a lot more consistent than the teams below them, so they could stay there.  We’ll learn a lot about this young team in the second half, with four games left in the division, and three against other playoff contenders.
  • New York Jets (4-3) Two straight losses for a team that looked like they’d keep pressure on the Pats all season.  The defense has allowed 60 points the last two weeks after allowing 75 total the first six weeks.  Add to that an injury to Ryan Fitzpatrick and nagging issues for Chris Ivory and things might seem bleak.  However, the Jets schedule is favorable, with their eight of their nine final ,opponents currently at .500 or below, with a home game against the Patriots in week 16 as their biggest test. So take advantage the next seven and there’s still hope for not only a wild card but if the Pats falter at all, the division.

Best Chance to Rebound

  • New Orleans Saints (4-4) – The offense is rounding into shape nicely, but as mentioned withe the Giants, their defense is very bad.  Drew Brees had faith in this young group after their 0-3 start, and that faith is paying off.  An NFL record tying 7 touchdowns in week 8 shows Brees still has the arm and drive to lead this team.  They’ve got a lot of work with the Falcons and Panthers both ahead of them, but with so many under .500 teams in the NFC, they can absolutely grab a wild card spot if they can continue to improve and get better on defense.
  • Seattle Seahawks (4-4) – The defense continues to be a step below what they’ve been the past two seasons, but they’re making the plays when they need to. The offense has been shaky, and nearly lost to the Cowboys in week 8.  But they know how to win and as the NFC champs to years running, you can’t count them out until yet.
  • St Louis Rams (4-3) – This is a strange team. They’re 3-0 in their division, a division that boasts two playoff teams from a year ago. But sometimes young teams are inconsistent, and St. Louis is definitely that. They seem to play up or down to that day’s opponent.  1-3 against the rest of the league, with two of those coming to the Redskins and a Roethlisberger-less Steelers team.  But the run game has been explosive with the addition of rookie Todd Gurley, helping kill clock and lessen the possibility for mistakes in the air.  Add a defense that has allowed the fourth fewest points through 8 weeks, and you can see why this team can make some noise now.
  • Kansas City Chiefs (3-5) – Much like the Seahawks, this team knows how to get into the playoffs.  They started out slow, and lost their best offensive weapon in Jamaal Charles, but they’ve looked a lot better the last two weeks, and the wild card battle in the AFC is wide open. Five of their final eight are against below .500 teams, and the three that aren’t, are the teams ahead of them in the West.  They can move up quickly if Alex Smith can continue to spread the wealth in the pass game and avoid the late turnovers that have plagued him.

NFL: Week 7 Picks

And then there were 5… undefeated team that is. At least 3 of them will remain so until at least week 8, as the Broncos, Packers and Bengals are all on their bye weeks (as are the Bears).

Last week I finished at 8-6 in my picks, so I head into week 7 with a record of 53-43.

Thursday Night Football

  • Seahawks @ 49ers: The Niners have looked a lot better on offense the last two weeks, after entering week 5 as the worst scoring team in the league.  As for the reigning NFC Champs, Seattle’s offense has been very hit or miss, and their vaunted defense has left a lot to be desired through 6 weeks. So what continues? An upswing for Colin Kaepernick and company, or the return of the Legion of Boom? Give me the Seahawks to shut down the passing game of the Niners and get back on track. SEATTLE WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Buffalo @ Jacksonville: The Bills are falling apart (mostly self-inflicted) and behind in the AFC East. Jacksonville is stuck in another bad year, as they’re currently the third worst scoring offense, and allowing the third most points on defense. Despite injuries, Buffalo’s defense has the ability to stop anyone when they set their minds to it, and this week’s opponent is a good opportunity to do just that. BUFFALO WINS
  • Buccaneers @ Redskins: I don’t like either one of these team’s offenses, but one team has a defense that is more than capable.  And that would be the home team. WASHINGTON WINS
  • Falcons @ Titans: The Falcons are coming off their first loss of the season, so it’ll be interesting to see how they bounce back.  Tennessee has been on a downward trend after a huge first game and now Marcus Mariota is banged up.  It’s a trap game for sure, but I like Atlanta on the road to get back in the win column.  ATLANTA WINS
  • Saints @ Colts: Neither team is having the season I thought they would.  But New Orleans found a way to take down the previously undefeated Falcons last week to snap their skid.  As for my preseason AFC favorites, the Colts lost by a score in week 7, and did so by running maybe the worst play in NFL history.  That being said, Indy played probably it’s best game on offense against the Patriots, and with Andrew Luck in his second game back from injury, I like the Colts at home to move back above .500.  INDIANAPOLIS WINS
  • Vikings @ Lions: Detroit got monkey off their back in overtime last week against Chicago.  Their offense was unstoppable and they look to build on it.  Minnnesota is coming off their bye looking to stay two back of the Packers in the North.  While I liked what I saw from the Lions offense, they are still incapable of stopping anyone, and I really like what the Vikings can do when their offense is running through Adrian Peterson. MINNESOTA WINS
  • Steelers @ Chiefs: One team is making the best of a bad situation, the other isn’t.  Pittsburgh is two QBs down and they still found a way to take down the Arizona Cardinals.  Kansas City was already on a spiral before losing Jamaal Charles.  Their offense is a mess.  Give me the road team to continue the Chiefs struggles. PITTSBURGH WINS
  • Browns @ Rams: I liked the Browns to beat the Broncos a week ago, and they nearly did it. St. Louis is coming off their bye and have a chance to take hold of the second spot in the NFC West.  Cleveland could easily be above .500 if a few things had bounced their way.  But I like what they’ve done so far this season, and the Rams seem to play down or up to their opponents.  CLEVELAND WINS
  • Texans @ Dolphins: Both teams got much-needed victories in week 6. Both QBs had nice games, but Miami got their running game going in a huge way.  Both defenses were up to the task, with The Texans holding when needed, while the Dolphins were dominant from start to finish.  I think this game will go down to the wire, and I see a big JJ Watt play as being the difference. HOUSTON WINS
  • Jets @ Patriots: An early fight for the AFC East between two teams with a long history and one combined loss.  The Jets are clicking on all cylinders thanks to a tightening up of the secondary and a healthy Chris Ivory.  New England is perfect and still playing well on both sides of the ball. It’s going to be a close, hard fought game, and I the run game will be the difference.  I have more confidence in the Jets on both sides of getting it going and stopping the run, so give me a big road win for the guys in green.  NEW YORK WINS

Sunday 4/425 PM Games

  • Raiders @ Chargers: Philip Rivers had his best game ever last week, throwing for over 500 yards, but it wasn’t enough. The Raiders  have shown flashes, particularly on defense. San Diego’s offense isn’t the problem, and that’s why they will have another letdown this week.  OAKLAND WINS
  • Cowboys @ Giants: Dallas is coming off their bye but they’re not any healthier.  Dez Bryant is not a guarantee and they need him without Tony Romo.  As for the Giants, they’re coming off their worst game of the season on Monday night. NEW YORK WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Eagles @ Panthers: Philly is coming off a big win on Monday Night to take a share of first in the NFC East.  But they shouldn’t feel too good about things, with how bad Sam Bradford played. In my opinion it’s time to go to Mark Sanchez, though I don’t see how it would make much different this week.  Carolina has gotten better every week, and find themselves undefeated despite their offense getting off to an extremely slow start.  Now they have a shot to improve to 7-0 in front of their home crowd.  I like their chances. CAROLINA WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Ravens @ Cardinals: So the Ravens are just that bad.  Arizona is one of the better teams in the league, but have allowed themselves to take two games off, both losses.  So which bird flies highest on Monday? I don’t trust any part of the Ravens team right now, so give me the home team to get back on track. ARIZONA WINS

NFL: Week 5 Recap and Week 6 Picks

Most Impressive Teams of Week 5

  1. Arizona Cardinals (4-1): What a bounce back from their first loss.  It’s hard to win by 25 when your QBs only attempt 18 passes.  Carson Palmer was and efficient 11-14 for three scores.  The run game was huge, racking up nearly 200 yards and three scores of their own.  Add a defense that registered six takeaways and you have your reason why they’re up two games in the NFC West.
  2. Cincinnati Bengals (5-0): Down 17 in the fourth to the Legion of Boom is an extremely tall task for any team, home or not.  But Andy Dalton led the team on three scoring drives, running in a TD, throwing another and giving his kicker Mike Nugent time to kick a field-goal to send the game to OT.  The defense started out slowly, especially against the run game, but they pitched a shutout from midway through the 3rd through overtime.
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (2-3):It took a month, but DeMarco Murray and Ryan Matthews remembered how to run, a good step in the right direction.  That being said, Sam Bradford is lucky the Saints aren’t very good, overcoming two red zone interceptions in the first quarter.   A number of field goals helped break the game open, as well as break a three-game home losing skid for the Eagles. Oh, and it doesn’t hurt when your defense forces five turnovers.

Most Disappointing Teams of Week 5

  1. Kansas City Chiefs (1-4): Another bad week for Kansas City, who not only lost their fourth straight, they lost their biggest offensive weapon in Jamaal Charles to a torn ACL.  Up 17-3 at the half, they couldn’t do anything in the second half, getting shut out by a Bears team that has been pretty darn awful early.  The Chiefs issue wasn’t turnovers, but an inability to stay on the field offensively, a problem they had even before Charles went down.
  2. New Orleans Saints (1-4):This team continues to struggle on both sides of the ball. They’re a bottom half offensive team, while allowing the third most points-per-game in the league.  Turnovers haven’t been a problem, but a lack of a running game has been.
  3. Baltimore Ravens (1-4): They’ve been in every game this season, which means they can’t close.  Not good.  IN the latest collapse, Baltimore held a 12-point lead, at home, against a Browns team they’d defeated 13 of the last 14 times they’d played.  Joe Flacco ran for two scores to go with Justin Forsett’s two on the ground, and somehow it wasn’t enough.  The defense allowed Luke McCown to throw for a franchise record 457 yards, the run game to add a score and four field goals, including the game winner in OT.  The Ravens are fairly healthy and yet they find themselves in the cellar after five weeks.

Most Surprising Performances of Week 5

  1. New York Giants (3-2): I picked them to beat the Niners, and they did, but it wasn’t what I thought it would be.  The best rush defense in the league allowed San Francisco to stay on the field too often.  And to let the worst scoring team in the league hang 27 on them, thanks to a nice passing game by run-first QB Colin Kaepernick.  Eli Manning made a few mistakes, but he was on point most of the night including another 4th quarter comeback for a huge passing night.
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2): Mike Vick wasn’t great until the fourth quarter.  The defense wasn’t great but it made the stops when necessary to allow Le’Veon Bell, who was great the whole game, to get it over the goal line with the walk-off touchdown to upset the Chargers.  Pittsburgh is doing what it needs to do without Roethlisberger, and stay afloat in the wild card picture.
  3. Denver Broncos (5-0):They own the Raiders on the road, but they were less than impressive on offense yet again.  Peyton Manning was picked off twice, and their own touchdown came on defense.  It’s that defense that continues to win them games, but they’re going to need help if they want to stay undefeated.

Byes: Cowboys, Raiders, Rams and Buccaneers

I went 8-6 in week 5, bringing my season total up to 45-37.  Now here are my week 6 picks.

Thursday Night Football

  • Falcons @ Saints:Atlanta is now 5-0, and completed their sweep of the NFC East this past week, but it was their worst game to date.  Another huge effort from Devonta Freeman saved the Falcons perfect start.  As for their division foes, the Saints were a no-show against the Eagles a week after picking up their first win of the season.  New Orleans can win this game; I just don’t think they will. ATLANTA WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Redskins @ Jets:Washington did a pretty good job of containing the Falcons early in week 5, but then Freeman broke free and broke often.  Look for Chris Ivory to take advantage coming off a career high performance in week 4 against the Dolphins. NEW YORK WINS
  • Cardinals @ Steelers: Both teams are feeling good about themselves after week 5, particularly on defense.  The Steelers offense did enough this past week, but Arizona has been far more consistent in both the running and passing game than Pittsburgh.  I like that balance in this game, even if it is a Cardinals road game.ARIZONA WINS
  • Chiefs @ Vikings:Kansas City is a team in decline, while the Vikings are on the rise.  Minnesota is only 2-2, and are pretty even when it comes to points scored vs points allowed, but they’ve shown they can rise to the occasion and that Adrian Peterson can get back to where he was before the suspension.  Without Jamaal Charles, Alex Smith needs to find a way in the passing game to overcome a less than stellar defense. Give me the home team in a close one. MINNESOTA WINS
  • Bengals @ Bills:Cincinnati is doing almost everything right, while Buffalo has been one of the league’s most inconsistent teams.  The Bengals found a way against one of the league’s best defenses, and they face another tough task this week. But they’ve limited mistakes and are excelling on both sides of the ball.  Buffalo’s offense at this point is basically Tyrod Taylor as they’ve been ravaged by injury at the running back position.  I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bills defense wins this one for them, but I am taking the Bengals to stay undefeated another week. CINCINNATI WINS
  • Bears @ Lions:DETROIT WINS
  • Broncos @ Browns: Peyton Manning is having an awful start to the 2015 season, and yet his team is 5-0 for the seventh time in his career.  This is in large part thanks to one of the best defenses he’s ever had CLEVELAND WINS
  • Texans @ Jaguars: The winner will still have a lot of work to do, while the loser will have the AFC South cellar all to themselves.  Jacksonville showed signs, particularly on defense to end last season, but they’ve been pretty bad all-around to start this year.  The Texans QB carousel continues, with Brian Hoyer doing good things to end last week when he came in for Ryan Mallet.  Look for Arian Foster to show up in his second game back from injury, mixed in with some help from JJ Watt, and I think the Texans will get their second win of the season. HOUSTON WINS
  • Dolphins @ Titans:Both teams enter with 1-3 records, though Tennessee sits in second in their division while the Dolphins are two games out in the AFC East.  The Titans point differential is actually positive, though most of that stems from their 52 point shellacking of Tampa in week 1.  As for Miami, they are one of the worst offensive teams in the league through 5 weeks, and their defense isn’t doing them any favors.  This is a good game for Miami to get going on offense since the Titans haven’t been good defensively, but with their own defensive struggles, I expect a shootout.  I liked Miami to challenge for a wildcard spot before the season, and if they want to turn their season around, they have to start now.  So give me the fins on the road in an ugly, high scoring affair. MIAMI WINS

Sunday 4/4:25 PM Games

  • Panthers @ Seahawks:It’s a battle of a defense on the rise, and a defense in flux. The two time defending NFC Champs have struggled to stay consistent on either side of the ball.  Thomas Rawls has done a nice job on the ground for the Seahawks in the absence of Marshawn Lynch, but the offense as a whole has been disappointing.  The defense has been better since Kam Chancellor came back in week 3, but they’ve shown weaknesses, particularly in the secondary, that we’re not used to seeing.  As for Carolina, they’re 4-0 and coming off a bye. They’ve been great on both sides of the ball, though the defense is doing most of the heavy lifting.  The Panthers are a top 10 scoring offense, despite only 729 yards of offense in their first four games. The Hawks tend to respond after bad losses, and for that reason, I think they take advantage of the Panthers one dimensional offense and pick up a win at home. SEATTLE WINS
  • Chargers @ Packers:Green Bay is still undefeated, but they haven’t looked great on offense the last two weeks.  Aaron Rodgers threw his first interception at home since 2012 last week, and then threw another while losing a fumble.  As for the Chargers, they looked like they’d get a much needed road win, then coughed it up.  While Philip Rivers has been pretty good this season, Aaron Rogers has been better, and has a far better defense.  GREEN BAY WINS
  • Ravens @ 49ers:Both teams need a win in the worst way.  The Ravens are coming off a bad overtime loss to the Browns, while the Niners had their best showing offensively since week 1, but lost on a last second touchdown in week 5. I really don’t like anything about either of these two teams this season, and while the 49ers defense has shown flashes, I still like Baltimore simply because they put up points more consistently than San Francisco. BALTIMORE WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Patriots @ Colts: Indianapolis has gotten lucky of late, without actually having Luck, something you do need in this league. New England hasn’t needed luck yet this season.  They’re easily taking out opponents with a good combo of offense and defense.  With Andrew Luck back at practice, the Pats could have him to combat with, though he wasn’t great before the injury.  I’m tired of picking undefeated teams, especially on the road, but I have to again this week. NEW ENGLAND WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Giants @ Eagles:Who would’ve thought this match-up would be an early battle lead in the NFC East after both teams started out the season a combined 0-5?  New York has played one clean game, and that was against Buffalo, yet they’re alone atop the division heading into this game.  They probably played their worst game defensively this past week, but Eli Manning helped pick up his team.  Philly got its run game going, and could look to exploit an ailing Giants defense.  But I don’t think they will do enough to get to .500.  I’ll take the road team to win their fourth straight. NEW YORK WINS