NFL: Week 8 Picks

So there were a lot of strange happenings last week in the National Football League.  A bunch of last play games, a lot of statement games and a number of big injuries.  Not to mention a record breaking performance from one Peyton Manning, and the number of winless teams moving to just 1.

Took a step back this week at 7-8.  Two of those wins came on final second scores by Washington and Buffalo to save me from a truly terrible week of picks.  Time to rebound. Giants and the 49ers are on their byes this week.

Thursday Night Football

  • Chargers @ Broncos: The two best teams in the AFC West get this week’s slate of games started.  San Diego lost just it’s second gmae of the season to another division foe a week ago, while Denver saw Peyton Manning’s record breaking 509th TD pass in a blowout win over the 49ers on Sunday night.  It’s still early, but this game is more important for the Chargers who have yet to have their bye, and a loss would give them 3 losses to the Broncos 1.  That being said, while I think they are well-matched, Denver has the edge at home. DENVER WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Lions @ Falcons: Detroit’s defense saved them from another home loss a week ago, where as Atlanta continues to struggle, particularly on defense.  Matt Ryan has needed all the help he could get from that side of the football, but hasn’t gotten it consistently. This may not be a high scoring affair, but much as it did in week 7, I think the Lions defense more than their offense wins this game for them.  DETROIT WINS
  • Vikings @ Buccaneers: Minnesota let one slip away on the road in week 7.  The Bucs are coming off their bye week losers of two straight.  So what gives in this one?  It’s going to be ugly, maybe the worst game of the week, and I think it ends with a road win for the Vikings, who at least know how to play some defense.  MINNESOTA WINS
  • Bills @ Jets: Buffalo pulled off the last second comeback win a week ago, but it came with a price.  They lost both halves of their high powered rushing attack in CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson.  But Kyle Orton and Sammy Watkins with a little help from their defense got them over the .500 mark. As for their AFC East rivals, the Jets lost their 6th straight, falling by just 2 points to the Patriots on Thursday night. New York looked better in some ways then they have in a while, but still ended up with another loss.  I want to say that forcing the Bills into a pass first game would be good for the Jets, but their secondary has been horrendous.  I also want to say that the Bills defense can do a number on Geno Smith.  So which team am I picking?  I picked New York to make the playoffs before the season, and while that would take a lot to happen, I am going to think if there’s a game they can win on their schedule, I think it has be this one.  NEW YORK WINS
  • Bears @ Patriots: Chicago is a mess both on the field and off, while the Patriots continue to prove early season doubters wrong.  There is a question of a lack of trust between Jay Cutler and his receiving core, which can be explosive.  New England wasn’t sharp on Thursday Night against the Jets, but made the plays when they needed to.  Another home game to prove themselves against a team in shambles usually means a win for Tom Brady and company. NEW ENGLAND WINS
  • Seahawks @ Panthers: Is it time for the defending champs to panic?  Probably.  Is it time for Carolina, also a playoff team a year ago to panic? Yes.  Seattle has an improved Arizona team to deal with in its own division, while the Panthers are just lucky the Saints have gotten off to such a terrible start.  The Seahawks are in better shape though, despite shipping out the dynamic Percy Havin and losing two straight for the first time in two years.  They know how to win and aren’t having major struggles on either side of the football.  It’s the Carolina defense that has been very disappointing so far.  And even though they are at home, I have more faith in the defending champs. SEATTLE WINS
  • Dolphins @ Jaguars:  Ryan Tannehill and the fins took advantage of a trouble Chicago squad to move to .500.  Tannehill was efficient, connecting on his first 14 passes in route to the road win.  Now they take on a Jacksonville squad that finally picked up their first win of the season over a much improved Cleveland team.  Denard Robinson broke out for 127-yards on the ground and a score to help Blake Bortles get his first career win.  I like Miami and the progress Tannehill is showing, but you can’t say enough for a team that isn’t playing for much and knows how to win now.  So I like the Jags to get another win this week.  JACKSONVILLE WINS
  • Ravens @ Bengals: Baltimore’s offense continues to shine without Ray Rice in the backfield, and it’s helped them build a lead in the AFC North over their week 8 opponents.  Cincinnati has looked bad since their week 4 bye, with the low point a shutout a week ago in Indianapolis.  I liked the Bengals to win this division before the season, and if they have hopes of doing so, this is a must win game.  So give me the home team to bounce back, because they have to. CINCINNATI WINS
  • Texans @ Titans: Both teams had a chance to pick up wins in week 7,  but neither capitalized.  But looking at the overall picture, Houston has been the far superior team on both sides of the football, so I think they get back on track, picking up a big road win in Tennessee.  HOUSTON WINS
  • Rams @ Chiefs: St. Louis feels really good about themselves coming off a win over the defending champs.  Sure they almost blew a big lead, but they held on and showed something late.  That being said, the Chiefs win in week 7 was even more impressive against a hotter Chargers squad.  So give me KC to continue a good month of sports in Missouri.  KANSAS CITY WINS

Sunday 4/4:25PM Games

  • Eagles @ Cardinals: This is the game I am looking forward to most this weekend.  Two of the best teams in the NFC that both enter action at 5-1.  The key to this one?  Philly’s quick paced offense versus Arizona’s defense, which is allowing less than 20 points a game.  Even deeper, Arizona has the best rush defense in the game, going against duel threat LeSean McCoy, that could be where the game is won or lost for either side.  So who team flies higher, extends their win streak to 3 and improves to a sparkling 6-1?  Give me the red birds at home.  ARIZONA WINS
  • Colts @ Steelers: Remember when Indy started off 0-2 and everyone was freaking out?  Yeah, me neither.  Andrew Luck has this team on a 5-game win streak, and the Colts are coming off a complete team win, an impressive shutout of the Bengals.  Pittsburgh is also coming off a win, a much-needed one.  It wasn’t super impressive, but they did score 24-unanswered late to upset the Texans on the road. So the Steelers feel a little bit better about themselves, but I just can’t pick against the red hot Colts, even on the road.  INDIANAPOLIS WINS
  • Raiders @ Browns:  Oakland needs a win, but so do the Browns after a bad loss to the Jaguars last week.  Going into the season I would’ve thought this was a battle for the number 1 seed.  But it’s not.  The Browns are better than last season, and they just looked bad on the road last week.  I think they can bounce back and keep the Raiders looking at a winless season. CLEVELAND WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Packers @ Saints: Aaron Rodgers is the reigning offensive player of the week for the red hot Packers. New Orleans had a chance to get a much needed win on the road in Detroit to move to .500, but they couldn’t hold on and dropped to a surprising 2-4.  I think the Superdome gets LOUD this week and gets Drew Brees and company going.  NEW ORLEANS WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Redskins @ Cowboys: Did you know that Colt McCoy still exists?  Yeah, neither did the Titans defense.  Washington broke their slide on a last second field-goal, but it wasn’t an impressive game.  Dallas is now on a 6-game win streak and don’t look like they are going to slow down any time soon.  So give me the Boys at home to improve to a very surprising 7-1. DALLAS WINS
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