NFL: Week 11 Picks

Thursday Night Football

  • Titans @ Steelers: Two division leaders get things started off this week.  Tennessee is tied atop the AFC South with Jacksonville, while Pittsburgh has a comfortable lead in the AFC North as they’re the only above .500 squad in the division. The Steelers boast the top rusher and receiver on the season, while the Titans have Kevin Byard who has the most interceptions on the season. This could be a very competitive game, as both teams have kept their games pretty close, but I’ll take the home team to get the week started off with a win. PITTSBURGH WINS
Sunday 1PM Games
  • Lions @ Bears: This NFC North match-up is bigger for the road team than the home team, as Detroit is tied for 2nd in the division with Green Bay, and two back from Minnesota. They’re on a two game win streak, and have actually played better on the road than home this season.  The Bears had gotten themselves back to a game of .500, but have since lost two straight. An inconsistent running game plagues both teams, but the Lions defense and passing game have been a lot more consistent than the Bears, and it’ll help them again this weekend. DETROIT WINS
  • Jaguars @ Browns: The league’s only remaining win-less team is coming off a game against Detroit where they actually held a lead late in the 3rd quarter, only to allow 21 unanswered in the final 15:52. Their offense continues to be struggle picking up the slack for their defense, with their leading receiver being a running back. THey face a Jacksonville team with a defense that shows no mercy on opposing quarterbacks, while their own quarterback is trending upwards. Do I think Cleveland can pick up a win this season? Yes. Will they in week 11? I don’t think so. JACKSONVILLE WINS
  • Ravens @ Packers: The Packers survived more injuries in their backfield to pick up their 5th win of the season, and their first without Aaron Rodgers. Brett Hundley played okay against the Bears, but they need more against the Ravens defense, especially with questions at running back. The Ravens find themselves a game below .500 despite scoring more points than they’ve allowed. This is because when they win, they do so decisively, having shut out the Bengals and Dolphins by a combined score of 60-0. But they’re losing the closer games of late. This could be a close game, but I think Baltimore finds a way to finally win one. BALTIMORE WINS
  • Buccaneers @ Dolphins: It’s a battle for Florida in week 11. Mike Evans returns after his one game suspension in time to help try to get Tampa their first road win of the season. The Bucs snapped a 5-game skid with a trio of field-goals and a late touchdown to put the game out of reach against the Jets. Ryan Fitzpatrick was just good enough in his first start in place of the injured Jameis Winston. The home team is coming off a blowout road loss on Monday night against the Panthers. The Dolphins have followed up a three-game win streak that had them over .500 with a three game losing streak. So who takes this one? Give me the road team. TAMPA BAY WINS
  • Rams @ Vikings: This is one of the more intriguing games this week to me, as two 7-2 teams square off. The upstart Rams and Jared Goff take on a very good Vikings team led by former Rams QB Case Keenum. There was some question whether Teddy Bridgewater would get the start for Minnesota, but Keenum did so well against Washington last week, there isn’t a change yet. Both teams have the ability to score, and defend, so it’ll interesting to see which wins out, offense or defense. While both can air it out, I think extending drives on the ground will be key, and if that’s the case, I’m rolling with Todd Gurley. LOS ANGELES WINS
  • Redskins @ Saints: New Orleans is tied with the Eagles for the longest win streak in the NFL this season, as they’ve won 7 straight following an 0-2 start. The Saints are coming off a dominating win over a good Bills team that included 6 rushing touchdowns. That’s more than 13 other teams have for the season! As for Washington, they continued to be up and down this season last week. A quick start turned into a big 2nd quarter for the Vikings, and the Skins were unable to catch up all the way for the win.  This could be a high scoring game, though with how the Saints defense has played during the win streak, I don’t see them losing at home this week. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Chiefs @ Giants: New York fell to its lowest point in week 10, allowing the win-less Niners to easily get their first victory of the season. Sterling Shepard had a big day in his second game back from injury, but that was about it for Giants highlights. The defense allowed San Francisco to run for 186 yards. Now they have to play a well-rested Chiefs team that looks to build their lead in the AFC West. While the Chiefs haven’t played as well as they did during their 5-0 start to the season, they’re still more consistent on both sides of the football than New York is. KANSAS CITY WINS
  • Cardinals @ Texans: If the way the rest of the season has gone, the Cardinals will win this week. They have alternated wins and losses all year, with their most recent loss a close one at home to the Seahawks. Drew Stanton didn’t get much help on offense, outside of nearly 180 yards receiving combined between Larry Fitzgerald and Jermaine Gresham. The running game was non-existent, something they need to pick up wins. Houston’s offense has struggled since Deshaun Watson went down for the season. Sure they lost big to the very good Rams last week, but they couldn’t score more than 14 the week before against the Colts, who give up the most points a game in the NFL. Neither of these teams are very impressive, but I trust the Cardinals offense more than the Texans right now. ARIZONA WINS
Sunday 4/4:25PM Games
  • Bills @ Chargers: Buffalo put together a pretty good first half of the saeason, but have not shown up the last two weeks on either side of the ball. Their defense allowed 81 points combined, including 6 rushing touchdowns last week. And a change at quarterback after Tyrod Taylor struggled agaisnt the Saints last week.  Los Angeles has been playing catchup after an 0-4 start, and are on their own 2 game losing streak. The Chargers season full of close losses continued against the Jags, as they lost another on a field-goal. So which team snaps their mini slide? I’ll take a big game from LeSean McCoy in the Bills new look offense. BUFFALO WINS
  • Bengals @ Broncos: Playoff teams a year ago, neither of these teams have had a good season this year. The Broncos loss to the Giants seems to have broken them. A very good defense has turned into an embarrassment, and the offense isn’t much better. Cincinnati is having the same problem, except their defense is the only thing keeping them in games. The Bengals have no running game to speak of, but frankly neither do this Broncos at this point. I’m taking Cincy here only because of the AJ Green factor. CINCINNATI WINS
  • Patriots @ Raiders: The Patriots at the top of the AFC East again, and after a slow start, are playing well on both sides of the ball. The ageless Tom Brady is leading the league is passing. If New England can figure out their run game again, look out. Oakland is still trying to find themselves, something you don’t want in week 11. They’re 2 games out of the AFC West, and just a game out of the wild card despite their 4-5 record. Derek Carr is trying to play through a back injury, but it’s not working out too well. I liked the Raiders preseason, I like the Patriots in season. NEW ENGLAND WINS
Sunday Night Football
  • Eagles @ Cowboys: The Cowboys will officially be without Ezekiel Elliot for a while, and it couldn’t come at a worse time, as they face the best team in football. They’re coming off a no show performance against the Falcons and are already 3 games back in the division. The Eagles can all but wrap up the NFC East with a win on Sunday Night. Philly is well-rested of the home stretch and during their 7-game win streak, their last three have come by double-digits. So without their best weapon, and having been a bit inconsistent offensively anyway, I don’t think Dallas can end the Eagles streak this week. PHILADELPHIA WINS
Monday Night Football
  • Falcons @ Seahawks: Both teams are coming off wins, and both need a victory here to stay alive in their divisions. The reigning NFC Champs have had an up and down season, but had one of their better showings last week, in a 20-point win over Dallas. Atlanta has been alternating wins and losses the last four, and to some key opponents. As for the Seahawks, they have had an odd season. They either seem to blow teams out, or lose close games. That changed a bit last week, as they pulled out a close win over the Cardinals. Seattle needs more consistency in the running game, but has had a lot of good performances on defense. And that return to the “Legion of Boom” mentality is why I think they get the win to close out week 11. SEATTLE WINS

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