NFL: Week 10 Picks

Thursday Night Football

  • Seahawks @ Cardinals: The Seahawks up-and-down offensive season continued in their loss to Washington last week.  Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin were the only two to make noise on that side of the ball for Seattle, but a couple big turnovers by Wilson helped the Redskins stay in the game and ultimately comeback late to win. Arizona continued their win one, lose one pattern with a 10-point win over the 49ers in week 9. Adrian Peterson put up big numbers in his 3rd game since joining the Cardinals, and Drew Stanton played well in his first start of the season. They’ll need better from Stanton this week, and another big game from Peterson. That being said, I expect the Seahawks defense to come up big and take this NFC West match-up. SEATTLE WINS
Sunday 1PM Games
  • Packers @ Bears: Green Bay was walked all over by the Lions in week 9, despite a pretty good showing by Brett Hundley. They couldn’t get any of their run game going, and their defense couldn’t stop the Lions. Chicago is coming off their bye week and hoping they can get their own offense going. The Bears have only scored over 20 points in two of their 8 games this season.  Both teams have running games capable of gaining over 100 yards and controlling clock. The difference comes down to the play of their young quarterbacks and which can play cleaner. I’ll take the road team in this one. GREEN BAY WINS
  • Browns @ Lions: Detroit had an easy time of it passing the ball in week 9, with Matthew Stafford connecting with 8 different players, including two for over 100 yards each. The defense held down a pretty good rushing attack, and get another chance against an offensively challenged team this week. Can the Browns come off their bye week and get their first win of the season? They could get a new (or old) offensive weapon back in the form of Josh Gordon who hasn’t played since 2014. Whether they do or not, it doesn’t matter for this game. The Lions are playing well and at home, will have an easy time picking up their 5th win of the season. DETROIT WINS
  • Steelers @ Colts: Refreshed and on a three-game winning streak, the Steelers look to keep their comfortable division lead as they head to Indy. While not scoring as prolifically as they’ve been known too, they find ways to win games fairly easily because they don’t really do anything poorly. Indianapolis survived and picked up their 3rd win of the season last week, upon learning they would not get their starting quarterback this season. Jacoby Brissett has done an okay job since being acquired from the Pats to take over for the injured Andrew Luck, while the defense continues to be up and down. They can’t be down this week, and even if they play well, I still think that this is Pittsburgh’s game to lose. PITTSBURGH WINS
  • Chargers @ Jaguars: Jacksonville’s defense continues to carry them, while Blake Bortles has been a lot more careful with the football of late. The special teams had a big week for the Jags in week 9 as well.  The Chargers 3-game win streak ended in week 8 before their bye week.  Los Angeles keeps themselves in games, which is a big thing for a struggling team. But I don’t know if they can keep up with the Jaguars offense. JACKSONVILLE WINS
  • Saints @ Bills: After 6 straight wins after an 0-2 start, the Saints have to feel good about how they’re planning in all facets of the game. Mark Ingram continues to put up more than solid numbers on the ground, and the defense was awoken after their awful showing through 2 weeks. They take on a Bills team that took a big hit in their division hopes at New York last Thursday. A defense that hadn’t allowed more than 21 points in all but 1 game, gave up 34 to the Jets. They’ll need much more from LeSean McCoy on the ground this week to keep down the Saints. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Jets @ Buccaneers: Tampa enters week 10 on a 5-game losing streak in which they’ve allowed 30 or more points three times.  And without their best offensive weapon in Mike Evans who was suspended for a hit on the Saints rookie Marcus Lattimore, and without Jameis Winston who hurt his shoulder, this will be a tough game for the Bucs. The Jets defense was huge, giving their offense a number of short fields, and a ton of possessions.  Matt Forte ran for two scores, and Josh McCown added one on the ground as well.  That being said, they’ve been very up and down, so give me Ryan Fitzpatrick to get some revenge on his former team. TAMPA BAY WINS
  • Vikings @ Redskins: Fresh off their bye, the Vikings will look to continue their 4-game winning streak and keep their cushion atop the NFC North. They’ll have to do it without Sam Bradford, who was put on IR, but could soon have former ROY winner Teddy Bridgewater back under center, though Case Keenum has done a pretty good job in Bradford’s place. As for the Redskins, they stopped a two-game skid with a comeback win over the Seahawks in week 9.  They’re offense didn’t do anything particularly noteworthy until that final game winning drive, where they moved the ball easily against a very good defense. I like the Vikings here however, no matter who gets the start under center.  MINNESOTA WINS
  • Bengals @ Titans: Here are two AFC teams I expected more from this season. And yes, I get that the Titans are tied atop their division, but they’ve had some winnable games slip late that would have had them alone and closer to the top of the AFC standings altogether. Marcus Mariota has been up-and-down, but the what they really need is more consistency from DeMarco Murry on offense. Same with the defense. Cincinnati is having an even tougher time of it, two games below .500 and 3rd in the AFC North. The Bengals offense has struggled from game 1, because even though A.J. Green is a huge weapon, there needs to be more than one option on offense.  While their defense has been pretty good this season, I think the Titans can get to them enough at home to pick up their 6th win of the season. TENNESSEE WINS
Sunday 4/4:25PM Games
  • Texans @ Rams: Houston was looking so good before Deshaun Watson went down, but without him, the offense last week could not pick up the defense, which struggled against the Colts passing game. Now they have their hands full with one of the hottest teams in the league, the Los Angeles Rams. Fresh off an impressive showing against the Giants, the Rams are now 5-0 on the road this season, and boast the best scoring offense in the league. Not a given that the Rams blowout the Texans this weekend, but I don’t think they lose either. LOS ANGELES WINS
  • Cowboys @ Falcons: Losers of 4 of their last 5, the Falcons are in danger of not making the playoffs and avenging their Superbowl loss.  Their defense has allowed at least 20 points in every game since week 1. The offense, which started off the scoring nearly 90 points through 3 weeks, hasn’t gotten to 80 combined since. Dallas isn’t having that problem. Their offense is clicking, winning their last 3 and scoring 28 or more in their last 6 games. But can they keep it up without Ezekiel Elliot, who is set to finally start serving his suspension? I think so. DALLAS WINS
  • Giants @ 49ers: It’s a battle between the two worst teams in the NFC this weekend out on the West Coast. The Giants continue to have on-and-off the field problems after a 51-17 demolishing by the Rams at home last week. A lone bright spot for the Giants has been the play of rookie tight-end Evan Engram on an offense that has been decimated by injuries. The good news for New York is their one win this season came on the road. As for the home team, San Francisco has lost 10 straight dating back to last year. At least earlier in the season they were keeping games close, but two of their last 3 have been blowouts. And the Niners offense has scored just 30 points in their last three as well. So if ever there was a time for the Giants to get a second win, it’s this week. NEW YORK WINS
Sunday Night Football
  • Patriots @ Broncos: Here are two teams that have been perennial playoff threats, moving in opposite directions. The Patriots keep trucking along, with a 1 game lead in the AFC East. New England’s defense got off to a historically bad start this season, but in the last 4 weeks, all wins, have held opponents under 13 points a game. Denver has lost their last 4 games, and made a change at quarterback. Their defense has been getting worse, while not forcing turnovers. So while this Broncos team still has the talent to get a win against the Pats, I don’t think they will. NEW ENGLAND WINS
Monday Night Football
  • Dolphins @ Panthers: Miami has followed up a three-game win streak with two losses, including a shutout and a 3-point loss to Oakland. Their inconsistency on offense is going to hurt them against a good Panthers defense. Those Panthers are just a half game out of first in their division, with one of their worst losses of the season coming to the Saints early. Carolina were down 10-0 after one to the Falcons last weekend, but a good game on the ground from Cam Newton and rookie Christian McCaffery helped get the win. So while this game could be close, the Panthers are still the better team. CAROLINA WINS

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