NFL: Week 6 Picks

Week 6 is here and the Kansas City Chiefs remain undefeated, while 3 other teams are still win-less. Teams on bye this week: Bills, Bengals, Cowboys and Seahawks.

Thursday Night Football

  • Eagles @ Panthers: Two 3-1 teams look to stake early claim as a possible 1 or 2 seed in the NFC on Thursday night. Both enter action atop their respective divisions.  Philly is flying high thanks to their offense, which features LeGarrett Blount punishing people on the ground. Carolina is starting to find their stride on offense , despite struggling in their own rush attack. The question is, whose defense makes the key stop late? Both teams tend to play close games, and while I like how the Panthers have looked of late, I’ll take the Eagles on the road in this one. PHILADELPHIA WINS
Sunday 1PM Games
  • Bears @ Ravens: Mitch Trubisky’s debut for Chicago wasn’t anything to write home about, but he kept them in the game against a superior Vikings team, so that’s something. The Ravens bounced back in a big way from two lack-luster performances to beat the Raiders on the road. Still not convinced that Baltimore is all the way back because of one win against a team who had just lost their quarterback, but in this game, I like the Ravens over the Bears. BALTIMORE WINS
  • Packers @ Vikings: Another week, another big second half propelled the Packers to a week 5 win over the Cowboys. Aaron Rodgers drove his team to a game winning touchdown with 11 seconds left in regulation. After losing a couple of running backs in week 4, Aaron Jones made his impact felt, with a 125 yards rushing. Minnesota got Sam Bradford for a bit Monday night, but he left just before the end of the first half after re-aggravating his knee injury.  Case Keenum took over, and led them on a drive to win the game in the final seconds on a field goal. But they struggled offensively against the Bears defense. Admittedly, the Green Bay defense hasn’t been great this season, but the Packers are better offensively, and that’s how they’ll get their 5th win of the season. GREEN BAY WINS
  • 49ers @ Redskins: San Fran was close to their first win of the season in week 5, but fell to 0-5 after an overtime field goal off the leg of Adam Vinatieri went through the uprights. The offense looked better, though against the Colts defense that isn’t saying much. Their pass defense remains a problem, so expect Kirk Cousins and company to feast.Washington is coming off a bye, so their weapons should be ready to go. Give me the home team easily in this one. WASHINGTON WINS
  • Lions @ Saints: Detroit enters action coming off a loss to the Panthers, their second of the season.  It was another close game for the Lions, and despite finding the end-zone when able to sustain drives, their 2nd half comeback wasn’t enough. They’ll need more from their rushing attack to keep a well-rested Drew Brees at bay. Brees and company are coming off their bye and two wins after losing the first two of the season. The defense, which had been monumentally bad through two weeks, while not dominant, has looked better in weeks 3 and 4.  This could be a shootout, but I like New Orleans at home in this one. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Dolphins @ Falcons: Miami didn’t play well, but they escaped Tennessee with their second win of the season. Jay Cutler didn’t reach 100 yards passing, and neither did Jay Ajayi on the ground. Their lone touchdown came on a defensive fumble recovery.  They take a step up in weight class this Sunday against the Falcons, who are 3-1 and coming off their bye week. While Atlanta has been a bit shaky at times, they shouldn’t have any problem against the Fins on either side of the ball. ATLANTA WINS
  • Browns @ Texans: Cleveland had a number of chances to take the lead in their week 5 game against the Jets, but missed a couple of field goals.  Houston lost not only their game last week, but one of their most important players in JJ Watt, who is now out for the season. Luckily for the Texans, rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson has shown he can move this team down the field. Now he just needs to do it from start to finish, and not in garbage time. The Browns have shown signs of life, but Houston is the better team. HOUSTON WINS
  • Patriots @ Jets: Did anyone think this would be a battle to stay atop the AFC East? Well, it is.  Both teams enter action at 3-2, tied with Buffalo for the division. The Jets win over Cleveland wasn’t crisp, but the defense played well, and Josh McCown did just enough to pick up a 3rd win on the year. The Patriots had a similar experience in their win over the Bucs to start the week. Their defense continued to allow a lot of yards in the air, but they ultimately bent, but didn’t break. NEW ENGLAND WINS
Sunday 4/4:25PM Games
  • Rams @ Jaguars: Two up-and-coming teams kick off the 4pm games. The Jags are alone atop the AFC South, while the Rams are tied for first in the NFC West. Both have defenses capable of turning mistakes into points, while also hitting quick plays in offense to jack up the score. They both also have quarterbacks prone to making mistakes of their own.  I believe this one will come down to who runs the ball better, and if Leonard Fournette is healthy, I like the Jacksonville’s chances at home to take down Los Angeles. JACKSONVILLE WINS
  • Buccaneers @ Cardinals: These NFC teams are both coming off losses this week, with the Cards looking to get back to .500, and the Bucs trying to get above the mark. Tampa’s pass attack is strong, and while they didn’t do a terrible job against Tom Brady, they didn’t do well either. Arizona has struggled offensively without David Johnson, and hope their acquisition of Adrian Peterson from New Orleans helps their rushing attack. Though I wouldn’t bet on it, as Peterson didn’t do much in his short tenure with the Saints. So who gets back in the win column? Unfortunately, I don’t think it’ll be the team I picked to win it all this season. TAMPA BAY WINS
  • Chargers @ Raiders: Los Angeles avoided an 0-5 start with a road win against New York, thanks in large part to a last-minute drive and field-goal that actually went through the uprights.  A change at kicker was one of their biggest needs, and the Chargers solved it, at least for now, with journeyman Nick Novak.  Oakland wasn’t so lucky in week 5, falling for a third straight time, their first without starting QB Derek Carr. Without him, the offense didn’t work as well as it had been to start the season.  That being said, I think EJ Manuel and company will find a way to get the Raiders back in the win column. OAKLAND WINS
  • Steelers @ Chiefs: Pittsburgh had one of the worst games in the Ben Roethelisberger era last week against the Jaguars. 9 points scored, and 5 interceptions thrown by Big Ben, including two which were run back for touchdowns in the third quarter. Kansas City meanwhile, remains unbeaten and while you can see weaknesses, is still clearly the best team through 5 weeks of the season. Look for more Kareem Hunt and another win for the Chiefs. KANSAS CITY WINS
 
Sunday Night Football
  • Giants @ Broncos: As one of the 3 remaining win-less teams, the New York Giants enter week 6 without 3 of their most important weapons: Odell Beckham Jr., Brandon Marshall and Dwayne Harris are all out of the season after getting hurt on Sunday. Leading late, the Giants saw another win slip away, as guys went down left and right.  The one positive? The running game started to look better. As for Denver, they are coming into Sunday Night with a 3-1 record and rested off their bye. They’ve played well, but are still a 1.5 games back of the Chiefs in the AFC West. The Broncos have a shot to get going on both sides of the ball this week to a down Giants team. That being said, they shouldn’t assume victory. That’s my job. DENVER WINS
Monday Night Football
  • Colts @ Titans: Indianapolis found a way to get an overtime win over the Niners in week 5, to stay within a game of the AFC South leading Jaguars. Adam Vinatieri continues to kick his team to victories, and Jacoby Brissett seems to be setting into the starters role as Andrew Luck continues to work his way back.  Meanwhile, without Marcus Mariota, the Titans fell at home in a lackluster performance against the Dolphins. It was a tough go for Matt Cassel and the Tennessee offense. They hope to have Mariota back for this week 6 closer, and it should help get the Titans back in the win column, TENNESSEE WINS
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