NFL: Week 10 Picks

Thursday Night Football

  • Browns @ Ravens: Cleveland remains win-less and barely put up a fight in week 9 against Dallas. Baltimore on the other hand snapped a four-game slide with a win versus Pittsburgh. That win came in Ben Roethlisberger’s return, who wasn’t sharp, however, the defense showed its early season form, which is promising. They won’t need to be on the absolute top of their game this week to keep the Browns win-less. I’m going with the Ravens at home. BALTIMORE WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Texans @ Jaguars: Houston has been one of the league’s strangest teams this season.  At 5-3, they have a one game lead in the AFC South, but they can’t string together two good games in a row, and when they lose, they really lose.  Jacksonville however, would take these problems.  At 2-6, they’re looking up at everyone in the AFC South, and have lost three straight. They’re not playing well on either side of the football right now. I like the Texans a lot more in general, and they are coming off their bye week.  But the Jaguars have the big play ability to make this a winnable game.  So in an upset, give me the Jags at home this week.  JACKSONVILLE WINS
  • Broncos @ Saints: The Broncos are in unfamiliar territory, looking up at two teams in the AFC West despite a very good 6-3 record.  This is after a Monday night loss to Oakland in which they allowed 30 points for the first time this season. New Orleans is capable of making that two weeks in a row, as they enter action as the 2nd ranked scoring team in the league.  So while I might like the Saints offense better, I trust the Broncos defense to make the stop down the stretch more than New Orleans. DENVER WINS
  • Rams @ Jets: Both teams lost by less than a touchdown in week 9, and both are looking for their 4th win of the season.  All but two of LA’s games have been close, and those that weren’t were losses.  They can hold good teams down defensively, but have not been able to put anyone away with their offense. Case Keenum hasn’t been good, but there isn’t a look to make a change to Jared Goff under center.  New York has had more questions at QB and on defense than expected.  So who moves closer to a .500 record? I’m going with the Rams to break their skid this week. LOS ANGELES WINS
  • Falcons @ Eagles: Atlanta is flying high at the top of the NFC South, while Philadelphia is alone at the bottom of the NFC East. The Falcons come in as the 2nd ranked offense, including the 2nd ranked passing offense.  The Eagles best chance in this game is if their 7th ranked pass defense can slow down Matt Ryan and Julio Jones.  While they definitely can slow them down, I’m not sure they’ll be able to enough to win the game. ATLANTA WINS
  • Chiefs @ Panthers: Carolina has a ways to go to make up for their 1-5 start, but winners of two straight, their defense is starting to look like the one that got them to the Superbowl last season. With the exception of one blowout loss, Kansas City’s defense has been great all year, while the offense has been good enough to get them to a 62 record.  Alex Smith has taken care of the football, which is huge for this team.  That being said, Cam Newton has looked a lot better of late, and I like their chances to make it three straight wins. CAROLINA WINS
  • Bears @ Buccaneers: Both teams find themselves under .500 entering action.  Tampa has lost two straight, mostly because their defense can’t stop anyone.  Chicago won their second game of the season in week 8 before their bye week in Jay Cutler’s return.  This game has the real potential to be an absolute shootout with two bad defenses taking the field.  I like Jameis Winston and company at home to win the air game against Cutler. TAMPA BAY WINS
  • Vikings @ Redskins: Minnesota started the season 5-0, and were the league’s last undefeated squad. Now they’re on a three game losing streak, and the offense looks inept. Washington is coming off a tie with the Bengals in London, and in third place in the NFC East.  The Skins play even, while the defense carries the Vikings.  Washington needs Kirk Cousins to have a big day in the air to win, and while it helps that he doesn’t make many mistakes, the Vikings pass defense is one of the best in the league.  MINNESOTA WINS
  • Packers @ Titans: At 4-4, Green Bay has been very disappointing this season.  Some days the defense looks great, some days they look average.  Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been as sharp as he has been in the past, and without much a run game, they’ve become very one-dimensional.  Tennessee has been up and down, but they showed something in week 9, nearly taking down the Chargers in a shoot out.  Despite a bad record in his year-plus career, Marcus Mariota has played very well in the red zone, a key to their near win last week.  DeMarco Murray has been huge for the TItans as well, so this will be a tough test for the Packers.  But with that being said, I still think the Packers are the better team, and will get their record back above .500 this weekend. GREEN BAY WINS

Sunday 4/425PM Games

  • Dolphins @ Chargers: It’s a matchup of two teams coming off wins in week 9.  Both teams had higher expectations for this season than their combined 8 wins so far.  Miami finds themselves in 2nd place in the AFC East despite being very up and down.  The Chargers aren’t so lucky playing in one of the most competitive divisons in football.  Philip Rivers has been pretty good this season despite the record, and is why I think San Diego pulls out the win this week.  Ryan Tannehill makes too many mistakes that Rivers doesn’t under center.  That’ll be the difference. SAN DIEGO WINS
  • 49ers @ Cardinals: I still don’t know how this team dominated tehir opening week game, as they’ve looked so bad ever since.  In the midst of a seven-game losing streak, Colin Kaepernick’s play on the field hasn’t helped silence the off-the-field distractions.  Sure he’s been better than Blaine Gabbert, but not by much.  Carlos Hyde has either been very dominant, or non-exisesnt on the ground.  Arizona has been a disappointment in the NFC West as well.  Up-and-down play on both sides of the ball has them under .500 and in second place in the division.  Injuries to Carson Palmer and Larry FItzgerald haven’t helped either.  So while both teams are under .500, this is still a trap game for the Cardinals, who are still a lot better than the 49ers.  And I think they’ll rise to the challenge and pick up their fourth win of the season. ARIZONA WINS
  • Cowboys @ Steelers: To think that Dallas is the hottest team in the league without Tony Romo is crazy.  And the fact that their two best players are rookies is simply amazing.  The Cowboys are winners of seven straight, and are 7-1, tied with the Pats for the best mark in the league.  The offensive line is playing at an all-world level, and the defense is playing just as well.  Dak Prescott is making the return of Tony Romo a real question.  Pittsburgh on the other hand has some work to do at 4-4.  Losing Ben Roethlisberger right when they were figruring things out slowed them down a bit.  He’s back now, but they still aren’t as sharp as they’d like to be.  I have a feeling this will be one of the tougher tests Dallas has had since their one-point loss to New York in week 1, but I also think they make it eight straight wins. DALLAS WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Seahawks @ Patriots: It’s a Superbowl 49 rematch on Sunday night. The Pats are coming off their bye week as the owner of the AFC’s best record. The Seahawks are atop the NFC West, the Patriots are atop the AFC East.  New England is coming off their bye week, which will probably only help keep Tom Brady healthier and on top longer.  Seattle’s defense will be the biggest test for Brady this season.  The thing that will help the Patriots is their running game has been very consistent.  I love what the Seahawks defense has done of late, but there’s just something about a rested Brady at home that seems to overcome most weaknesses.  NEW ENGLAND WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Bengals @ Giants: New York is on a three-game win streak and in a playoff position in the NFC.  Cincinnati had a disappointing first half of the season, capped with a tie in London two weeks ago. The Giants have shown an ability to win close games, and with a defense that is getting healtier, theyve allowed the offense to work out some kinks.  New York has to run the ball better to move to the next level, but the same can be said abotu the Bengals.  Cincy’s offense isn’t what it has been the past few years, but neither has the defense.  If New York can contain AJ Green, I’ve got a good feeling about them picking up their sixth win and matching last years win total. NEW YORK WINS

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