NFL Picks: Week 7

Bye Weeks: Panthers and Cowboys.

Thursday Night Football

  • Bears @ Packers: Brian Hoyer had another good performance, and the Bears led all the way in week 6, until they didn’t.  Leading 13-0 heading into the fourth, the Jags turned it on and won on a big play with under 30 seconds to go.  Chicago is one of three NFC teams with just 1 win heading into this week. Green Bay enters with a winning record, but they haven’t been very impressive.  Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been as sharp as he usually is, the defense has been spotty and Eddie Lacy is hurt.  But they’re still the Packers.  Give me the home team in this NFC North match-up. GREEN BAY WINS

Sunday Morning Football

  • Giants @ Rams: Another game across the pond between two NFC teams.  New York is coming off a home win that saw Odell Beckham Jr. catch 8 passes for 222 yards and two scores, including the game winner on 4th-and-1 late in the fourth quarter. As for the Rams, they lost a shootout with the Lions on the road. LA has lost two in a row after starting the season 3-1. So both teams head to London with 3-3 records.  Who gets the win? It’s tough because I like Eli Manning better than Case Keenum, but I like what Todd Gurley could possibly do on the ground more than the Giants running backs at this point.  Give me the Giants and another big day from Beckham in a close game. NEW YORK WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Saints @ Chiefs: Each coming off wins, these two opponents are looking to keep the good feelings going.  New Orleans defense continues to be an issue, but their offense laid into the Panthers last week.  Kansas City had a good offensive day against a defense that was supposed to be good as well, grabbing an easy victory against Oakland in week 6.  The Chiefs offense has been inconsistent, where it’s been a strength for the Saints.  But we’ve seen them be stopped at home, and I expect them to be held down long enough on the road this week. KANSAS CITY WINS
  • Colts @ Titans: Indianapolis was well on their way to their third win, until they weren’t.  allowing two touchdowns in the last five minutes of regulation is bad, and not all together surprising for the Colts defense.  Tennessee on the other hand is on an upswing after winning their last two games. Marcus Mariota and company almost blew a lead to Cleveland, but held on and had a big offensive day to do so. They’re a more balanced team than the Colts, and that’s why I like the home team in week 7. TENNESSEE WINS
  • Vikings @ Eagles: Minnesota comes off their bye week as the leagues only undefeated team, and they start off facing Philly coming off two straight losses.  The Eagles offense hasn’t been as crisp as it had been when they were undefeated early.  They’re capable on both sides of the ball to keep up with the Vikings, but I can’t see the vikings picking up their first loss after their bye week.  This could be a tough one, but should still be a road victory. MINNESOTA WINS
  • Browns @ Bengals: In the year of Cleveland sports, the Browns didn’t get the memo.  The league’s only undefeated team, the Browns showed some fight in week 6 after being down early to the Titans, but couldn’t pull it out.  Cincinnati lost in New England, as many before them have in the Brady era.  The  Bengals offense wasn’t terrible in week 6, but their defense didn’t give them much of a chance.  It won’t be easy for Cincy at home this week, as the Browns offense isn’t as bad as you would think for a win-less team, but they’ll get their third win of the season nonetheless.  CINCINNATI WINS
  • Redskins @ Lions: After an 0-2 start, Washington is looking more like the team that won the NFC East last season. Kirk Cousin has been great running the offense, and the defense is doing enough to let him. The Lions have been in every game this season, but have figured out how to win late, instead of lose late.  Washington is probably the better team, but not by much. I’ll take a leap and go with the home team to snap the Skins four-game win streak. DETROIT WINS
  • Raiders @ Jaguars: Both of thse teams have things to be happy about.  Oakland lost to their division foes, but are still tied atop the divison with the Chiefs.  Jacksonville may be under .500, but they’re defense is keeping them in games, which is a good place to start. Both teams have young quarterbacks with big play abilities.  This game could be close, but I’ll go with the road team in this AFC battle. OAKLAND WINS
  • Bills @ Dolphins: Both of these AFC East teams enters coming off wins that were dominated by their running backs. Bad news for the Bills, who saw LeSean McCoy leave practice with a hamstring injury.  The good news is they play a two win Dolphins team.  Miami has to use their win over the Steelers as a jumping off point. They haven’t been destroyed in their five losses, but they don’t make the play enough of the time to compete with Buffalo’s defense. BUFFALO WINS
  • Ravens @ Jets: Ryan Fitzpatrick is out, Geno Smith is back under center for the Jets as they look for something to help end their four-game losing streak.  They’re the worst scoring team in the league through six weeks, and despite entering the season with a defense that was meant to be a strength, have allowed the 8th most points-per-game. Baltimore enters on a three-game losing streak after opening up the season 3-0.  Where they were winning close games early, their losing them now.  The biggest point gap they’ve finished in this season… their six-point win in week 1 and a six-point loss in week 5. They’ll have an easier time of it this week. BALTIMORE WINS

Sunday 4/425PM Games

  • Buccaneers @ 49ers: The Bucs are coming off their bye week, and have been very up-and-down.  If the Tampa Bay defense allows more than 30 points, they lose. Of course that tends to be true of most teams, but the Buccaneers have the ability to limit opponents more regularly than they do.  The Niners lost in the return of Colin Kaepernick, but there were signs of life on offense Blaine Gabbert hadn’t provide.  San Francisco drove, but couldn’t finish drives, and couldn’t stop LeSean McCoy.  Based on the offensive spark, I’m going to take the 49ers to get their first win since week 1. SAN FRANCISCO WINS
  • Chargers @ Falcons: San Diego snapped their 10 straight losses to division foes last week, as well as their three-game season losing streak. It was a much needed win for a Chargers team that had lost three straight games in the final two minutes. Atlanta lost their first game since week 1, falling to the Seahawks. Matt Ryan had another big day in the air, but two turnovers cost the red birds in their two-point loss. So while the Chargers figured out how to close otu a game, I like what this Falcons team has done this season; they’ll avoid a losing streak. ATLANTA WINS
  • Patriots @ Steelers: New England has had its issues to work past this season, and have come through with flying colors.  TOm Brady has come back and made the offense even better than it had been without him.  The defense is doing its job too. Pittsburgh has had its own issues, and added another after a strong string of games.  They lost to a then one-win Miami team last week, losing more than just the game.  Ben Rothelisberger will be out at least a month with a torn minus, and despite having Le’Veon Bell, the offense struggled without him.  And it’ll struggle again this weekend. NEW ENGLAND WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Seahawks @ Cardinals: Seattle is heating up, and that spells trouble for the NFC.  Their division rivals have been up and down this season in a way I didn’t think they would.  But while in the past Seattle held the edge on the ground, that’s not true this season.  David Johnson is doing things on the ground most people don’t do in their first handful of starts.  This is going to be a hard faught win, but I’ll go with the Cardinals at home.  ARIZONA WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Texans @ Broncos: Houston took a while to get going in week 6, but found a way to beat the Colts in overtime thanks to a huge day from Lamar Miller.  Brock Osweiler wasn’t great earlier, but two touchdowns in the final five minutes helped give the Texans a shot and the eventual victory. Denver on the other hand couldn’t get anything going on offense until late in the fourth.  Their defense was up to task, holding the Chargers to four field goals after a first quarter score. Trevor Siemian had a pretty good  game, but had to attempt 50 passes because they got zero help on the ground. The Broncos have now lost two in a row after starting the season 4-0.  Houston is too up and down, so give me the home team to get back in the win column to cap off week  6. DENVER WINS
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