NFL: Week 11 Picks

And then there were two… undefeated teams that is.  Carolina in the NFC, and New England in the AFC are the only perfect teams left after week 10.  As we enter week 11, the playoff picture begins to take form.

Last week I went just 7-7, so let’s try to get better with the following week 11 picks.

Thursday Night Football

  • Titans @ Jaguars: I ask myself seemingly every year, why is this match-up a prime-time game? But this year, it actually kind of works.  Despite a combined 5-13 record, both of these teams are actually still in contention for the NFC South title.  Sad but true.  Tennessee is coming off a poor showing against the Panthers, while Jacksonville is coming off a two-point win over the the Ravens. As I’ve already said, neither team has been good this season, I have been impressed with both teams offenses at times.  Jacksonville has been a lot more consistent on both sides of the ball, so that’s why I’m going with the home team in this one. JACKSONVILLE WINS

Sunday 1 PM Games

  • Raiders @ Lions: Oakland looked about as bad as they have all season in their week 10 loss to the Vikings.  Detroit managed to pick yo their second and best win of the season, a road win over the Packers.  So which team shows up? The bad Raiders of a week ago, or the not so bad Lions team of a week ago?  Neither. I think the Raiders get back on track and even up their record.  The biggest issue for Oakland a week ago was stopping Adrian Peterson, and seeing as how the Lions have no run game to speak of, they’ll stop Matt Stafford enough to get to 5-5. OAKLAND WINS
  • Colts @ Falcons: I had Indianapolis making it to the Superbowl, but now they might not even make it of their division.  Atlanta would be a wild card in the NFC, though with how they started the season, they had higher hopes.  Both teams are coming off the bye, though the Colts will be without Luck under center, going instead with the healthy Matt Hasselbeck.  Indy has had trouble stopping basically everyone this week, and a rested Falcons offense should look closer to what they did in weeks 1-3 because of it. ATLANTA WINS
  • Jets @ Texans: All of a sudden the Texans have a better shot at the playoffs than the Jets.  New York’s defense has been struggling to go along with issues at QB.  As for Houston, the defense has started to round into shape.  Despite the better showing from the Texans of late, I still like the Jets offense led by Chris Ivory and with Houston’s inability to run the ball and sustain drives the way New York can, I like the road team to take win this game and stay in the hunt. NEW YORK WINS
  • Buccaneers @ Eagles: Whether they’re high or low scoring, the Bucs play in a lot of close games.  They’ve been very up and down because of it, not surprising for a team lead by a rookie quarterback.  As for Philly, they hope Mark Sanchez can relive his early Jets days now that Sam Bradford is out.  I like Sanchez in this offense, and thought the Eagles should’ve went to him earlier in the season.  It’s going to be another close game, one won by the home team. PHILADELPHIA WINS
  • Broncos @ Bears: Peyton Manning is out, Brock Osweiler is in.  The offense looked the best it’s looekd all season when Osweiler came in last week for the injured future HOFer, which is sad for a previously 7-0 team.  Chicago is actually on a two game win streak, but I still don’t trust them. Give me the Broncos defense to do work against the Bears.   DENVER WINS
  • Rams @ Ravens: I am very disappointed in the Ravens this season.  They have been in every game they’ve played this season, but couldn’t make plays late like they used to.  St. Louis’ defense has been there all season, much like I thought it would be, but the offense under Nick Foles has left something to be desired most weeks.  Now with Case Keenum under center, the Rams look to keep the second spot in the NFC West, and I think they do just that. I have no faith in Baltimore anymore, and so I will take the Rams on the road.  ST LOUIS WINS
  • Cowboys @ Dolphins: The return of Tony Romo starts in Miami.  Seven straight losses and still the Cowboys have a shot at the division.  Miami has been up-and-down all season, but found a way against the Eagles a week ago.  I know a lot of the losses the Cowboys have suffered through could’ve been avoided with Romo under center, but I still like the up-and-down Dolphins to take this one at home. MIAMI WINS
  • Redskins @ Panthers: Washington has been a lot better offensively under Kirk Cousins.  But their defense is going to have trouble this week with a red hot Panthers team.  Early on Carolina was winning with their defense, but now all facets are clicking.  It could be a close game most of the way, but give me the Panthers to stay perfect another week. CAROLINA WINS

Sunday 4/425 PM Games

  • Chiefs @ Chargers:  As I wrote in my mid-season recap, the Chiefs hold their destiny in their own hands. And they’ve run with it.  Winners of three straight, including a huge win over Denver last week, they’ve at least put themselves back in the conversation in the AFC. They’re still a game under .500, but they look like a brand new team and still have a lot of games left in their own division.  As for their West counterparts, the Chargers have already lost as many games as they did in their past two seasons (both playoff years). Philip Rivers has been very good, but that’s about it.  San Diego hasn’t had much else going for them this season, hence the 2-7 mark.  With Kansas City as hot as they’ve been, I can’t see the Chargers overcoming that. KANSAS CITY WINS
  • Packers @ Vikings: Don’t look now but we have a battle for the NFC North.  Not only do the Minnesota Vikings now find themselves a game ahead of the Packers, they come in red hot while Green Bay is on a three-game skid we haven’t seen the likes of since Aaron Rodgers first year as a starter in 2008. The Packers defense hasn’t been bad, the biggest problem has been the offense.  No run game has made the offense one dimension, and Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been able to clean up the act. That being said, I like Green Bay’s run defense to contain Peterson and find a way back in the win column. GREEN BAY WINS
  • 49ers @ Seahawks: The Legion of Boom is more like the Legion of Ka-Boom right now. But luckily for Seattle, they’ve got a poor offensive team in San Francisco coming in.  A QB change isn’t going to do much this year for the 49ers, and trying to figure it out with the 12th man watching won’t help matters. They may not be the same team that’s been to the last two Superbowls, but I like the Seahawks to take this game on Sunday. SEATTLE WINS

Sunday Night Football 

  • Bengals @ Cardinals: To say the Bengals were embarrassed on Monday night is an understatement.  To lose at home to a than three-win team in maybe the most worst division in football this season is bad.  To lose your perfect record in the process with a weight of playoff disappointment hanging over you, is really bad.  Luckily for Cincinnati, the rest of the AFC outside of New England isn’t great, so they’re still a comfortable two seed.  As for Arizona, they got a huge win in Seattle on Sunday and look like a sure bet to win their division.  They too currently hold the two seed in the NFC, but could lose it with the Vikings and Packers nipping at their heels.  CINCINNATI WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Bills @ Patriots: Buffalo has battled their way back into a possible playoff spot while the Pats are comfortably the one seed in the AFC as the last undefeated team in the conference. While the Bills should feel good about what they’ve done the last couple weeks, they’re still not on the same level as the Pats offensively.  Sure New England has been wrecked on the offensive line and now are without Julian Edelman, but I still like the Pats at home in this East match-up. NEW ENGLAND WINS
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