NFL: Week 11 Picks

Week 11. Games are becoming more and more important as the playoffs approach.  I went 9-4 last week in my picks, bringing my season total up to 91-55.  Here’s what I’ve got happening this week with the Ravens, Jets, Cowboys and Jaguars are on their bye.

Thursday Night Football

  • Bills @ Dolphins: It’s a big AFC Matchup to open up week 11 action.  Both teams are fighting for at least a wild card spot, and enter action with identical 5-4 records.  The Bills have already beat Miami this year, so the Dolphins need this more than the Bills.  Buffalo keeps finding ways to win despite losing their top two running backs for a few weeks, while Ryan Tannehill has stepped up big time for the Dolphins.  I see this being a defensive struggle, and also being the best Thursday night game of the season.  Give me the home team in a one score game.  MIAMI WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Vikings @ Bears: Chicago has to win again right? You would think so, especially with this being a home game.  But Minnesota has been overachieving without Adrian Peterson, to the point where they could sneak into the playoffs! Add to that, the Bears are awful on both sides of the ball at this point, specifically on defense, and they can’t win at home this season. So I’m taking the Vikings on the road. MINNESOTA WINS
  • Texans @ Browns: It’s weird to say, but Cleveland is in line to make a serious run for the AFC North (they hold a slim lead to start the week).  Houston has had a good season, and JJ Watt could make life difficult for Brian Hoyer.  But I love how the Browns find ways to win, and I think they do it once again for their 7th win of the season. CLEVELAND WINS
  • Falcons @ Panthers: I hate this game so much with two teams that have disappointed big time.  Atlanta has been god awful on defense basically all season, while the Panthers have had too many changes and injuries to make a run at a playoff spot.  If Cam Newton can get on the field, I think pride carries them to their first win in weeks. CAROLINA WINS
  • Bengals @ Saints: Both teams need a win this week. New Orleans still holds the lead in the NFC South despite losing last week. The same can not be said for the Bengals, who laid an egg against the Browns, losing their lead to Cleveland in the AFC North.  I picked both teams to not only make the playoffs, but make significant runs. I have no confidence in other team right now, but I want to give the Bengals one more shot, so despite this being in the tough to handle Superdome, give me Cincy in a game they need more. CINCINNATI WINS
  • Buccaneers @ Redskins: Bottom dwellers do battle in DC as the one-win Bucs bring their awful defense and rotation of QBs into RGIII’s house.  I don’t like either one of these teams, so I’m going home team for no other reason than I’m not picking a draw. WASHINGTON WINS
  • Broncos @ Rams: St. Louis didn’t roll over when they lost Sam Bradford in the preseason.  They just don’t have the talent to make up for it in a tough league.  Denver might not be able to put them away early, but they should get an easy win this week. DENVER WINS
  • Seahawks @ Chiefs: This is going to be a fun matchup.  People have being sleeping on the Chiefs and here they are in prime position to make the playoffs again.  The Seahawks are still up and down, coming off a big win over the Giants where Marshawn Lynch woke up big time.  But I think the Chiefs have been far more consistent, and I think they can beat the champs at home this week.  KANSAS CITY WINS
  • 49ers @ Giants: I really need to stop picking the Giants, but with Rashad Jennings set to come back this week, and Eli Manning in the midst of one of his best stretches, I think they put up a big fight.  The Niners aren’t as good as they have been in the past, but find ways to get wins.  New York needs to string some wins together, and has a favorable schedule the rest of the way.  Don’t put it past some late season Eli magic to at least put them back in the conversation. NEW YORK WINS

Sunday 4/425PM Games

  • Raiders @ Chargers: Oakland has been terrible all season, while the Chargers haven’t been good recently after a very hot start.  I wouldn’t be surprised if the Raiders got their first win of the season, but I don’t think it happens either. SAN DIEGO WINS
  • Lions @ Cardinals: Normally when you lose your starting quarterback this late in the season there is a cause for concern.  And that’s of course the case with Arizona with Carson Palmer going down, but their defense is so good, and Drew Stanton has proven capable so it’s not concerning just yet.  Detroit finally got Calvin Johnson back and their defense has been very good all season  ARIZONA WINS
  • Eagles @ Packers: Division leaders square off in the frozen tundra, giving us another great game this weekend.  Philly put a hurting on the Panthers a week ago on the road, while Green Bay put up 6 scores in the first half against the Bears.  This game features more defense than those games did, so I don’t expect the crazy numbers again. Mark Sanchez has two wins back as a starter, but I think he gets his first loss back for the Eagles because my NFC representatives in the Superbowl are trending way up and are far healthier.  So give me another nice night from MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers. GREEN BAY WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Patriots @ Colts: Oh boy is this a beautiful game. It’s going to have a playoff feel in the regular season for sure.  Both teams are atop their division and have offenses that can go off for 50-points without much effort.  And I think both teams might get there despite both sides having pretty good defenses.  It’s a toss up, so I am going with the Andrew Luck in front of the home crowd in a shootout. INDIANAPOLIS WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Steelers @ Titans: The Steelers followed up 12 touchdowns in two weeks with a bad loss to the Jets.  Tennessee is on a 3-game skid and they are terrible on offense.  So I see now reason why the Steelers can’t and won’t get back to their big numbers this week. PITTSBURGH WINS

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