NFL Picks: Week 7

Another great week in the NFL is in the books.  A tie, a bunch of blowouts and a bunch of shootouts.

My week 6 went 10-6, including a tie between Carolina and Cincinnati. Here are my week 7 picks, 15 games with just the Eagles and Buccaneers on their byes.

Thursday Night Football

  • Jets @ Patriots: It’s an AFC East match-up to kickoff week 7 action.  Before the season I thought this game could be the first in determining the division.  Instead it’s another chance for the Pats to continue to right the ship, and for the Jets to try to snap out of their funk.  I’m going with the former, because New York is just a mess in every facet of the game except the run. NEW ENGLAND WINS

Sunday 1PM Games

  • Falcons @ Ravens: Atlanta continues to be one of those teams with a lot of talent being wasted.  I thought they’d snap out of it at home last week against Chicago, but instead gave up 30 points again.  And with a Ravens team that clicked on all cylinders to the tune of 5 1st half touchdown passes from Joe Flacco up next, all I have to say is yikes. BALTIMORE WINS
  • Titans @ Redskins: Talk about a game I probably wouldn’t accept money to watch.  Tennessee barely scraped by the win-less Jaguars a week ago, while Washington is on a four-game slide.  I think that skid ends for the Skins however, because they’re home and I’ve at least seen some good things from their offense against good teams.  WASHINGTON WINS
  • Seahawks @ Rams: Seattle is looking to rebound off a rare home loss to the upstart Cowboys in week 6, while St. Louis is coming off their 3rd straight defeat.  I don’t see the defending champs losing two straight and though this is a trap game, I think they get the road win on the strength of a bounce back performance by Russell Wilson. SEATTLE WINS
  • Browns @ Jaguars: I had the Browns beating Pittsburgh a week ago, but I didn’t think it would be in such dominating fashion.  The run game was great thanks to a big game from Ben Tate, while Jordan Cameron anchored a big day in the air for Brian Hoyer.  Not to mention the defense holding Ben Roethlisberger to 10 points.  Oh and Jacksonville is bad. CLEVELAND WINS
  • Bengals @ Colts: This is probably the toughest game for me to pick o the week.  Cincinnati has disappointed me, particularity on defense since coming out of their bye undefeated.  They’ve surrendered 80 points in the last two games, a loss and a tie, after just 33 in their first 3 games.  Now they face a high-powered Colts team, that happens to be on a 4-game win streak, on the road. So I am going to go out on a limb and take the Bengals on the road, because if they’re to take the next step, it’s games like this where they have to prove something. CINCINNATI WINS
  • Vikings @ Bills: Minnesota has had its moments this season, as has Buffalo.  Neither team has had consistent offense, rather relying on their defenses to carry them.  The Bills run game is their strength, and it hasn’t even been that great early.  I think both CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson have big days at home to get their team above .500. BUFFALO WINS
  • Dolphins @ Bears: Talk about two inconsistent teams that need a win. At 2-3 and 3-3 respectively, Miami and Chicago are both still in the conversation in their divisions. Both teams are strong in the trenches, but the Bears have the edge in the air, and that’s where I think they win it.  CHICAGO WINS
  • Saints @ Lions: New Orleans enters rested fresh off their bye week after a huge come-from-behind OT win in week 5.  Detroit won in week 6 in large part because of their outstanding defense.  Calvin Johnson is struggling, as is the run game, but it’s easier to take when your D holds the other team to a field-goal.  It won’t be so easy to do so this week, and even though it’s a road game, I’m taking a leap because of a guy named Drew Brees. NEW ORLEANS WINS
  • Panthers @ Packers: This is a big game in that it could affect playoff seeding in the NFC for one or both teams.  Carolina’s defense is not what we thought it would be.  Green Bay is surging after a 1-2 start.  I think it’ll be a close one throughout, with Aaron Rodgers coming up big late to help the cheese heads move to 3-0 at home. GREEN BAY WINS

Sunday 4/4:25PM Games

  • Chiefs @ Chargers: Kansas City isn’t fooling anyone this season.  After starting last season with 9 straight wins, their offense just hasn’t been up to snuff this year.  The run game continues to excell, but Alex Smith has the pass game at the bottom of the league.  They’ve kept themselves in games, except for a 41-point game against New England, so there’s still hope.  But with their red hot AFC West counterparts on the schedule, this is going to be a tough one. It hasn’t always been pretty, but the Chargers just find ways to win.  Being a home game, I like the Chargers to continue to find ways to win, which will push KC far out for the division and put pressure on the Broncos.  SAN DIEGO WINS
  • Cardinals @ Raiders: Arizona has its QB back, the defense is clicking and the NFC West is a toss up early.  Oh and they get a team on the march for another number 1 pick and a possible date with 0-16.  Oakland did give San Diego all it could handle a week ago, so I don’t think it’ll be easy, but I like the Cards on the road. ARIZONA WINS
  • Giants @ Cowboys: Yes, I know the Giants were manhandled a week ago, while Dallas overwhelmed the defending champs on the road. I also know that DeMarco Murray is a beast and New York isn’t great at stopping the run. But I also don’t think New York is as bad as they looked on Sunday Night.  Not to mention, when these two teams get together, strange things tend to happen.  Eli Manning has had a lot of success in Dallas, and I think he finds a way to get his guys back on track this week. NEW YORK WINS

Sunday Night Football

  • Niners @ Broncos: What a great match-up on Sunday Night between two of the final four teams from a season ago.  San Francisco has looked better of late after a slow start at 1-2.  But I still have concerns about their offense.  I know their defense can keep them in most any game, but with Peyton Manning just 3 TD passes away from the all-time record of 509, I don’t know how the Broncos don’t get their 5th win of the season. DENVER WINS

Monday Night Football

  • Steelers @ Texans: Pittsburgh is a straight up mess right now.  Sure they’re 3-3 but it’s been ugly, and having been 8-8 the past 2 years, being .500 is nothing special.  Add to that the surprising start of the Browns, the Steelers find themselves in the cellar of the North.  As for Houston, they’ve already surpassed their win total from last season and look a lot better on offense.  So give me the home team to move above .500 and keep pressure on the division leading Colts. HOUSTON WINS

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